Illinois 2026 Election Predictions

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By: Evan Troxel

These are my predictions to win the primary election and the general election (for right now, subject to change before like September 25th, 2026,) for the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate Elections (and other elections) for the U.S. state of Illinois in 2026.

I also list people who I think support Islam or who I think or terrorists (or who should be put on a terrorist watch list at the very least).

Illinios currently has fourteen Democrats and three Republicans in the U.S. House of Representatives.

Illinois has two Democrat U.S. Senators. Dick Durbin has finally decided to retire and will be out of office in January 2027. Tammy Duckworth will be sticking around until at least January 2029 (unless something unexpected happens of course).

Most of the predictions were made on Monday, March 16th, 2026, unless otherwise noted.

U.S. House Elections

1st Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Jonathan Jackson; Republicans: Christian Maxwell

General election: Jonathan Jackson

2nd Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Donna Miller; Republicans: Michael Noack

General election: Donna Miller

3rd Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Delia Ramirez; Republicans: Angel Oakley

General election: Delia Ramirez

4th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Patty Garcia; Republicans: Lupe Castillo

General election: Patty Garcia

5th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Mike Quigley; Republicans: Tommy Hanson

General election: Mike Quigley

6th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Sean Casten; Republicans: Niki Conforti

General election: Sean Casten

7th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: La Shawn Ford; Republicans: Patricia Easley

General election: La Shawn Ford

8th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Melissa Bean; Republicans: Jennifer Davis

General election: Melissa Bean

9th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Daniel Biss; Republicans: John Elleson

People who need to be put on a terrorist watch list immediately: Kat Abughazaleh (Democrat)

General election: Daniel Biss

10th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Brad Schneider; Republicans: Carl Lambrecht

General election: Brad Schneider

11th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Bill Foster; Republicans: Jeffrey Walter

General election: Bill Foster

12th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Julie Fortier; Republicans: Mike Bost

General election: Mike Bost

13th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Nikki Budzinski; Republicans: Jeff Wilson

General election: Nikki Budzinski

14th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Lauren Underwood; Republicans: James Marter

General election: Lauren Underwood

15th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Paul Davis; Republicans: Mary Miller

General election: Mary Miller

16th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Paul Nolley; Republicans: Darin LaHood

General election: Darin LaHood

17th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Eric Sorensen; Republicans: Dillan Vancil

General election: Eric Sorensen

U.S. Senate Election

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Raja Krishnamoorthi

2nd place prediction (Democrats): Juliana Stratton

3rd place prediction (Democrats): Robin Kelly

Republicans: Don Tracy

2nd place prediction (Republicans): Jeannie Evans

3rd place prediction (Republicans): R. Cary Capparelli

General election: Raja Krishnamoorthi (Predicted on March 16th, 2026, at 7:24 p.m. Eastern Time)

I predict that Democrats will retain their seats in the U.S. Senate.

Gubernatorial Election (Governor of Illinois Election) (Predicted on Tuesday, March 17th, 2026, before 6:48 p.m. Eastern Time)

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: J.B. Pritzker; Republicans: Darren Bailey

Primaries

Republicans (2nd place): Rick Heidner

Republicans (3rd place): Ted Dabrowski

Republicans (4th place): James Mendrick

General election: J.B. Pritzker

Attorney General Election (Predicted on Tuesday, March 17th, 2026, before 6:48 p.m. Eastern Time)

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Kwame Raoul; Republicans: Bob Fioretti

Primaries

Republicans (2nd place): Andy Williams Jr.

General election: Kwame Raoul

Secretary of State Election (Predicted on Tuesday, March 17th, 2026, before 6:48 p.m. Eastern Time)

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Alexi Giannoulias; Republicans: Diane Harris

Primaries

Republicans (2nd place): Walker Adamczyk

General election: Alexi Giannoulias

Those are all of my predictions to win for right now! Be sure to come back to this page for my updated and final predictions in Illinois before the General Election.

These predictions are meant to give my personal opinion about who will win each election.

Be sure to follow me on my various social media which you can find on this page for right now. Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter/X @Evan_Troxel. Also, be sure to definitely follow me on Gab @Evan_Troxel  and on Telegram as well at t.me/Evan_Troxel in case I ever get censored and banned from X and Facebook!

I reserve the right to change my predictions before the first day of the General Election. I also can change my predictions AFTER the start of the first day of the General Election ONLY if I decide BEFORE the General Election that I want to change my predictions and I just do not have access to the Internet before the General Election.

LEGAL NOTICE: I DO NOT endorse and I do not encourage people to gamble or bet your own money and other people's money at all! These predictions are not meant to be taken as extremely serious advice for betting and gambling purposes anytime at all in the near future! If you have a gambling problem, please seek help from someone you trust! If you don't trust anyone, you probably need to start trusting certain people in your life more!