Nebraska 2026 Election Predictions

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By: Evan Troxel

These are my predictions to win the primary election and the general election (for right now, subject to change before like September 25th, 2026,) for the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate Elections (and other elections) for the U.S. state of Nebraska in 2026.

I also list people who I think support Islam or who I think or terrorists (or who should be put on a terrorist watch list at the very least).

Nebraska currently has 0 Democrats and 3 Republicans, in the U.S. House of Representatives.

Nebraska has two Republican Party U.S. Senators. Deb Fischer will be a U.S. Senator at least until the actual year of 2031 and sometime after the 2030 election. Pete Ricketts is up for re-election this year and if he wins he will be sticking around until sometime after the 2032 election.

Here are President Trump's endorsements for the U.S. state of Nebraska by U.S. Congressional District. All of his endorsements are Republicans (or at least they should be regardless of your personal political beliefs):

1st: Mike Flood

2nd: Brinker Harding

3rd: Adrian Smith

(Predicted on Tuesday, May 5th, 2026, at 8:16 p.m. Eastern Time)

U.S. House Elections

1st Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win (term starts on January 3rd, 2027):

Democrats:

Chris Backemeyer (Democrat)

2nd place: Eric Moyer (Democrat)

Republicans:

Mike Flood (Republican)

Libertarian:

Mike Sandman (Libertarian)

General election prediction to win:

Mike Flood (Republican)

2nd place: Chris Backemeyer (Democrat)

3rd place: Mike Sandman (Libertarian)

2nd Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats:

Winner: John Cavanaugh (Democrat)

2nd place: Denise Powell (Democrat)

(I might be wrong about the Democrat primary election for first and second place).

3rd place: Kishla Askins (Democrat)

4th place: Crystal Rhoades (Democrat)

5th place: Evangelos Argyrakis (Democrat)

6th place: Melanie Williams (Democrat)

7th place:  James Leuschen (Democrat)

Republicans:

Brinker Harding (Republican)

Libertarian:

Winner: Eric Foreman (Libertarian)

General election prediction to win:

The Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball has this seat as "Leaning Democrat" as of June 30th, 2025.

Inside Elections has this seat as "Tilt Democrat" as of December 5th, 2025.

Race To The WH has this seat as "Tilt Democrat" as of February 3rd, 2026.

Brinker Harding (Republican)

2nd place: John Cavanaugh (Democrat)

3rd place: Eric Foreman (Libertarian)

3rd Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats:

Becky Stille (Democrat)

Republicans:

Winner: Adrian Smith (Republican)

2nd place: David Huebner (Republican)

(I really think David Huebner is a very popular candidate for the Third U.S. Congressional District in Nebraska compared to many other previous Republican candidates who have tried to unseat Adrian Smith. I really do think he could unseat Adrian Smith in this primary election, but I just can't officially predict David Huebner to win right now if I have to choose between Adrian Smith and David Huebner, and NBC News at least cryptically indicates that this race isn't worth watching at least because any political party that isn't a Republican likely isn't going to win this seat. I really think Adrian Smith would have decided he was not going to run this time around if he really didn't believe he could "win"! If David Huebner does win the primary election (and the general election), I just hope he is ready for the long haul (which could be multiple U.S. Congressional terms) because the first six months for him of being a U.S. Congressman are going to be extremely difficult I believe).

Adrian Smith will likely be chairing some type of committee very soon (as he is currently the Chair of the Ways and Means Subcommittee on Trade and could be the Chair of the Ways and Means Committee very soon) that will be very beneficial to Nebraska's interests if he can win this primary election (at least that's what other media outlets have said/reported).

On the other hand, David Huebner has border patrol experience and that will be (or at least could be) extremely beneficial knowledge to the United States to stop (or at least control/contain) Islamic terrorism!

I personally won't be surprised AT ALL if Adrian Smith dies (because he likely took the extremely dangerous and deadly COVID-19 vaccines), if he wins this election in 2026, before his last day in office as a member of the U.S. Congress in early January 2029!

Adrian Smith has experience actually in the U.S. Congress that David Huebner currently doesn't have!

The other thing to remember is that Nebraska in at least one previous year rejected President Trump's endorsements for U.S. Congressional elections (and ended President Trump's undefeated endorsement streak), which could possibly be a major reason why David Huebner wins this seat!

I really want to pick David Huebner to win this seat, but he hasn't placed any television advertisements as far as I know, so much of his campaign is based on word of mouth and that's extremely hard to win an election for one of America's largest U.S. Congressional Districts by area/land mass!

Either of these Republican candidates will likely be very good for the interests of Midwestern America, Nebraska and hopefully the United States.

I am not going to tell you who to vote for in the Third U.S. Congressional District in Nebraska for the Republican Primary Election.

Legal Marijuana NOW (Political Party):

1st place: David Else

Independents:

1st place: Macey Budke (Independent)

Non-Partisan

1st place: Mark Cohen (Non-Partisan)

General election prediction to win:

Adrian Smith (Republican)

2nd place: Becky Stille (Democrat)

3rd place: Mark Cohen (Non-Partisan)

4th place: Macey Budke (Independent)

5th place: David Else (Legal Marijuana NOW)

U.S. Senate election predictions

Primary election predictions to win (primary election on Tuesday, May 12th, 2026):

Democrats:

Cindy Burbank (Democrat)

2nd place: William Forbes (Democrat)

Republicans:

Pete Ricketts (Republican)

2nd place: Todd Knobel (Republican)

3rd place: Debb Axtell Schultz (Republican)

4th place: Eric Mortimore (Republican)

5th place: Mac Stevens (Republican)

Legal Marijuana NOW

1st place: Mike Marvin (Legal Marijuana NOW)

2nd place: Earl Starkey (Legal Marijuana NOW)

Independent:

Dan Osborn (Independent)

The Nebraska Democratic Party has ENDORSED Dan Osborn for U.S. Senate!

General election predictions to win:

On March 27th, 2026, Sabato's Crystal Ball labeled this race as "Likely Republican" and Race To The WH labeled this race as "Lean Republican".

On April 13th, 2026, The Cook Political Report labeled this race as "Likely Republican".

On April 23rd, 2026, Inside Elections labeled this race as "Likely Republican".

Winner: Pete Ricketts (Republican)

2nd place: Dan Osborn (Independent)

3rd place: Cindy Burbank (Democrat)

4th place: Mike Marvin (Legal Marijuana NOW)

Gubernatorial Election

Jim Pillen, a Republican, and the current governor of Nebraska, has been endorsed by President Trump.

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats:

Lynne Walz (Democrat)

2nd place: Larry Marvin (Democrat)

Republicans:

Winner: Jim Pillen (Republican)

2nd place: John Walz (Republican)

3rd place: Jacy Todd (Republican)

4th place: Sheila Korth-Focken (Republican)

5th place: Sal Holguin (Republican)

6th place: Gary L. Rogge (Republican)

7th place:

Legal Marijuana NOW

1st place: Rick Beard

2nd place: James Charvat

General election predictions to win:

Jim Pillen (Republican)

2nd place: Lynne Walz (Democrat)

3rd place: Rick Beard (Legal Marijuana NOW)

Lieutenant Gubernatorial Election

Joe Kelly, a Republican, is the current lieutenant governor of Nebraska. I actually took one of his criminal procedure classes at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln in-person, and he is one of the nicest people that I have ever met.

The Gubernatorial winners of each primary election will likely choose their running mates for Lieutenant Governor.

Primary election predictions to win:

Republicans:

Winner: Joe Kelly (Republican)

General election predictions to win:

Joe Kelly (Republican)

Attorney General Election

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats

Jocelyn Brasher (Democrat)

Republicans:

Mike Hilgers (Republican)

General election predictions to win:

Mike Hilgers (Republican)

2nd place: Jocelyn Brasher (Democrat)

Secretary of State Election

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats:

Sarah Slattery (Democrat)

2nd place: Lee Cimfel (Democrat)

Republicans:

Bob Evnen (Republican)

2nd place: Scott Petersen (Republican)

General election predictions to win:

Bob Evnen (Republican)

2nd place: Sarah Slattery (Democrat)

Those are all of my predictions to win for right now! Be sure to come back to this page for my updated and final predictions in Nebraska before the General Election.

These predictions are meant to give my personal opinion about who will win each election.

Be sure to follow me on my various social media which you can find on this page for right now. Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter/X @Evan_Troxel. Also, be sure to definitely follow me on Gab @Evan_Troxel  and on Telegram as well at t.me/Evan_Troxel in case I ever get censored and banned from X and Facebook!

I reserve the right to change my predictions before the first day of the General Election. I also can change my predictions AFTER the start of the first day of the General Election ONLY if I decide BEFORE the General Election that I want to change my predictions and I just do not have access to the Internet before the General Election.

LEGAL NOTICE: I DO NOT endorse and I do not encourage people to gamble or bet your own money and other people's money at all! These predictions are not meant to be taken as extremely serious advice for betting and gambling purposes anytime at all in the near future! If you have a gambling problem, please seek help from someone you trust! If you don't trust anyone, you probably need to start trusting certain people in your life more!