North Carolina 2026 Election Predictions

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By: Evan Troxel

These are my predictions to win the primary election and the general election (for right now, subject to change before like September 25th, 2026) for the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate Elections (and other elections) for the U.S. state of North Carolina in 2026.

I also list people who I think support Islam or who I think or terrorists (or who should be put on a terrorist watch list at the very least).

North Carolina currently has four Democrats and ten Republicans in the U.S. House of Representatives.

North Carolina has two Republican U.S. Senators. Ted Budd will be sticking around until January 2029. Thom Tillis is retiring at the end of his term in January 2027.

All predictions were made on Tuesday, March 3rd, 2026, unless otherwise noted.

U.S. House Elections

1st Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Don Davis; Republicans: Laurie Buckhout

General election: Laurie Buckhout

2nd Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Deborah Ross; Republicans: Gene Douglass

General election: Deborah Ross

3rd Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Allison Jaslow; Republicans: Greg Murphy

General election: Greg Murphy

4th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Valerie Fouschee; Republicans: Max Ganorkar

Terrorist & Terrorist Watch List: Nida Allam (Democrat)

General election: Valerie Fouschee

5th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Chuck Hubbard; Republicans: Virginia Foxx

Terrorist &/or Terrorist Watch List: Kyah Creekmore (Democrat)

General election: Virginia Foxx

6th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Cyril Jefferson; Republicans: Addison McDowell

General election: Addison McDowell

7th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Kim Hardy; Republicans: David Rouzer

Terrorist &/or Terrorist Watch List: Maad Abu-Ghazalah (Libertarian)

General election: David Rouzer

8th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Colby Watson; Republicans: Mark Harris

General election: Mark Harris

9th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Richard Ojeda; Republicans: Richard Hudson

General election: Richard Hudson

10th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Ashley Bell; Republicans: Pat Harrigan

Terrorist &/or Terrorist Watch List: Mir Yarfitz (Democrat)

General election: Pat Harrigan

11th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Jamie Ager; Republicans: Chuck Edwards

General election: Jamie Ager

12th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Alma Adams; Republicans: Addul Ali

General election: Alma Adams (unless she dies before then)

13th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Paul Barringer; Republicans: Brad Knott

General election: Brad Knott

14th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Brent Caldwell; Republicans: Tim Moore

Terrorist &/or Terrorist Watch List: Ahmid Kargbo (Democrat)

General election: Tim Moore

U.S. Senate Election

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Roy Cooper; Republicans: Michael Whatley

General election: Michael Whatley (Predicted on March 3rd, 2026)

I predict that Republicans will maintain 10 seats in the U.S. House and that they will also retain their seat in the U.S. Senate.

Those are all of my predictions to win for right now! Be sure to come back to this page for my updated and final predictions in North Carolina before the General Election.

These predictions are meant to give my personal opinion about who will win each election.

Be sure to follow me on my various social media which you can find on this page for right now. Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter/X @Evan_Troxel. Also, be sure to definitely follow me on Gab @Evan_Troxel  and on Telegram as well at t.me/Evan_Troxel in case I ever get censored and banned from X and Facebook!

I reserve the right to change my predictions before the first day of the General Election. I also can change my predictions AFTER the start of the first day of the General Election ONLY if I decide BEFORE the General Election that I want to change my predictions and I just do not have access to the Internet before the General Election.

LEGAL NOTICE: I DO NOT endorse and I do not encourage people to gamble or bet your own money and other people's money at all! These predictions are not meant to be taken as extremely serious advice for betting and gambling purposes anytime at all in the near future! If you have a gambling problem, please seek help from someone you trust! If you don't trust anyone, you probably need to start trusting certain people in your life more!