Ohio 2026 Election Predictions

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By: Evan Troxel

These are my predictions to win the primary election and the general election (for right now, subject to change before like September 25th, 2026,) for the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate Elections (and other elections) for the U.S. state of Ohio in 2026.

I also list people who I think support Islam or who I think or terrorists (or who should be put on a terrorist watch list at the very least).

Ohio currently has 5 Democrats and 10 Republicans, in the U.S. House of Representatives.

Indiana has two Republican Party U.S. Senators. There will be a special election in 2026 as Jon Husted took over for current vice president of the United States J.D. Vance, to finish out Vance's term in the U.S. Senate. The next U.S. Senate election will be in 2028.

Bernie Moreno is the other U.S. Senator from Ohio and he won't be up for re-election until 2030.

Here are President Trump's endorsements for the U.S. state of Ohio by U.S. Congressional District. All of his endorsements are Republicans (or at least they should be regardless of your personal political beliefs):

1st: Eric Conroy

2nd: David Taylor

4th: Jim Jordan

5th: Bob Latta

6th: Michael Rulli

7th: Max Miller

8th: Warren Davidson

10th: Mike Turner

12th Troy Balderson

14th: David Joyce

15th: Mike Carey

(Predicted on Friday, May 1st, 2026, at 6:19 p.m. Eastern Time)

U.S. House Elections

1st Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win (term starts on January 3rd, 2027):

Democrats:

Greg Landsman (Democrat) Correct

2nd place: Damon Lynch IV (Democrat) Correct

2-0 correct predictions for Democrats in Ohio

Republicans:

Eric Conroy (Republican) Correct

2nd place: Holly Adams (Republican) Correct

3rd place: Rosemary Oglesby-Henry (Republican) Correct

4th place: Steven Erbeck (Republican) Correct

4-0 correct predictions for Republicans in Ohio

Libertarian:

Jason Stoops (Libertarian)

2nd place: John Hancock (Libertarian)

General election prediction to win:

Eric Conroy (Republican) (Greg Landsman has a very good shot to win this election, if he wins the primary of course! This is one of the handful of general elections that everybody will be watching!)

2nd place: Greg Landsman (Democrat)

3rd place: Jason Stoops (Libertarian)

2nd Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats:

Winner: Jennifer Mazzuckelli (Democrat) Correct

2nd place: Todd Wilson (Democrat) Correct

(I'm probably going to be wrong about the Democrat primary election).

4-0 correct predictions for Democrats in Ohio

Republicans:

David Taylor (Republican) Correct

2nd place: Bob Carr (Republican) Correct

6-0 correct predictions for Republicans in Ohio

Libertarian:

Winner: Kenneth Jacob Dietz (Libertarian)

General election prediction to win:

David Taylor (Republican)

2nd place: Jennifer Mazzuckelli (Democrat)

3rd place: Kenneth Jacob Dietz (Libertarian)

3rd Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats:

Joyce Beatty (Democrat) Correct

2nd place: Joe Gerard (Democrat) Correct

6-0 correct predictions for Democrats in Ohio

Republicans:

Winner: Cleophus Dulaney (Republican) Correct

7-0 correct predictions for Republicans in Ohio

Independents:

Michelle Bird (Independent)

General election prediction to win:

Joyce Beatty (Democrat)

2nd place: Cleophus Dulaney (Republican)

3rd place: Michelle Bird (Independent)

4th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats:

Joshua Kolasinski (Democrat) Correct

7-0 correct predictions for Democrats in Ohio

Republicans:

Winner: Jim Jordan (Republican) Correct

8-0 correct predictions for Republicans in Ohio

Independent:

Tamie Wilson (Independent, Ex-Democrat)

General election predictions to win:

Jim Jordan (Republican)

2nd place: Joshua Kolasinski (Democrat)

3rd place: Tamie Wilson (Independent, Ex-Democrat)

5th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats

Martin Heberling III (Democrat) Wrong

2nd place: Daniel Burket (Democrat) Wrong

3rd place: Scott Tabor (Democrat) Wrong

4th place: Brian Shaver (Democrat) Wrong

I expect Tabor to beat Shaver. I will be surprised if it doesn't happen. Based on their profile pictures on Ballotpedia.

7-4 correct predictions for Democrats in Ohio

Republicans:

Bob Latta (Republican) Correct

9-0 correct predictions for Republicans in Ohio

Libertarian:

Michael J. Veloff (Libertarian)

Independent:

Dalton Franklin (Independent)

General election predictions to win:

Bob Latta (Republican)

2nd place: Martin Heberling III (Democrat)

3rd place: Dalton Franklin (Independent)

4th place: Michael J. Veloff (Libertarian)

6th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Adrian Vitus (Democrat) Wrong

2nd place: Charles DiPalma (Democrat) Wrong

3rd place: Brent Hanni (Democrat) Wrong

4th place: Christopher Lafont (Democrat) Wrong

5th place: Elizabeth Kirtley (Democrat) Wrong

6th place: Malcolm Ritchie (Democrat) Wrong

7th place: Sean Connolly (Republican)

7-10 correct predictions for Democrats in Ohio

Republicans:

Michael Rulli (Republican) Correct

2nd place: Julie Kelley (Republican) Correct

11-0 correct predictions for Republicans in Ohio

General election predictions to win:

Michael Rulli (Republican)

2nd place: Adrian Vitus (Democrat)

7th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats:

Brian Poindexter (Democrat) Correct

2nd place: Ed FitzGerald (Democrat) Correct

3rd place:  Scott Schulz (Democrat) Wrong

4th place: Michael Eisner (Democrat) Correct

5th place: Laura Rodriguez-Carbone (Democrat) Wrong

6th place: Keith Mundy (Democrat) Wrong

7th place: Ann Marie Donegan (Democrat) Wrong

8th place: John Butchko (Democrat) Wrong

10-15 correct predictions for Democrats in Ohio

Republicans:

Max Miller (Republican) Correct

12-0 correct predictions for Republicans in Ohio

Libertarian:

Brian Duvall-Gambino (Libertarian)

Independents: Andrey Martinichin (Independent)

General election predictions to win:

Max Miller (Republican)

2nd place: Brian Poindexter (Democrat)

3rd place: Andrey Martinichin (Independent)

4th place: Brian Duvall-Gambino (Libertarian)

8th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats:

Madaris Grant (Democrat) Wrong

2nd place: Vanessa Enoch (Democrat) Wrong

10-17 correct predictions for Democrats in Ohio

Republicans:

Warren Davidson (Republican) Correct

13-0 correct predictions for Republicans in Ohio

General election predictions to win:

Warren Davidson (Republican)

2nd place: Maderis Grant (Democrat)

9th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats:

Marcy Kaptur (Democrat) Correct

11-17 correct predictions for Democrats in Ohio

Republicans:

Derek Merrin (Republican) Correct

2nd place: Josh Williams (Republican) Correct

3rd place: Alea Nadeem (Republican) Wrong

4th place: Madison Sheahan (Republican) Wrong

5th place: Anthony Campbell (Republican) Correct

16-2 correct predictions for Republicans in Ohio

Libertarian:

Matthew Althaus (Libertarian)

2nd place: David Gedert

General election predictions to win:

Derek Merrin (Republican)

2nd place: Marcy Kaptur (Democrat)

3rd place: Matthew Althaus (Libertarian)

10th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats:

Tony Pombo (Democrat) Wrong

2nd place: Kristina Knickerbocker (Democrat) Wrong

3rd place: Janice Beckett (Democrat) Wrong

4th place: Jan Kinner (Democrat) Correct

5th place: David Esrati (Democrat) Wrong

6th place: Manuel Foggie (Democrat) Correct

13-21 correct predictions for Democrats in Ohio

Republicans:

Mike Turner (Republican) Correct

17-2 correct predictions for Republicans in Ohio

Libertarian:

Thomas McMasters (Libertarian)

General election predictions to win:

Mike Turner (Republican)

2nd place: Tony Pombo (Democrat)

3rd place: Thomas McMasters (Libertarian)

11th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats:

Shontel Brown (Democrat) Correct

2nd place: Sean Freeman (Democrat) Wrong

3rd place: Ardelia Holmes (Democrat) Wrong

14-23 correct predictions for Democrats in Ohio

Republicans:

James Hemphill (Republican) Wrong

2nd place: Mike Kirchner (Republican) Wrong

17-4 correct predictions for Republicans in Ohio

Independent:

Cortney Peterson (Independent)

General election predictions to win:

Shontel Brown (Democrat)

2nd place: James Hemphill (Republican)

3rd place: Cortney Peterson (Independent)

12th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats:

Jerrad Christian (Democrat) Correct

2nd place: Daniel Crawford (Democrat) Correct

3rd place: Jason Reynard (Democrat) Correct

17-23 correct predictions for Democrats in Ohio

Republicans:

Troy Balderson (Republican) Correct

18-4 correct predictions for Republicans in Ohio

General election predictions to win:

Troy Balderson (Republican)

2nd place: Jerrad Christian (Democrat)

13th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats:

Emilia Sykes (Democrat) Correct

18-23 correct predictions for Democrats in Ohio

Republicans:

Kevin Siembida (Republican) Wrong

2nd place: Carey Coleman (Republican) Wrong

3rd place: Neil Patel (Republican) Wrong

4th place: Margaret Briem (Republican) Wrong

5th place: Sanjin Drakovac (Republican) Correct

19-8 correct predictions for Republicans in Ohio

General election predictions to win:

Emilia Sykes (Democrat)

2nd place: Kevin Siembida (Republican)

3rd place: Sandeep Dixit (Independent)

14th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats:

Carl Setzer (Democrat) Wrong

2nd place: Maria Jukic (Democrat) Wrong

3rd place: Bill O'Neill (Democrat) Wrong

18-26 correct predictions for Democrats in Ohio

Republicans:

David Joyce (Republican) Correct

2nd place: Nicole Frenchko (Republican) Correct

21-8 correct predictions for Republicans in Ohio

General election predictions to win:

David Joyce (Republican)

2nd place: Carl Setzer (Democrat)

15th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Democrats:

Adam Miller (Democrat) Wrong

2nd place: Don Leonard (Democrat) Wrong

18-28 correct predictions for Democrats in Ohio

Republicans:

Mike Carey (Republican) Correct

2nd place: Samuel Ronan (Republican). Ronan wasn't in the race according to NBC News.

22-8 correct predictions for Republicans in Ohio

Libertarian:

Brennan Barrington (Libertarian)

General election predictions to win:

Mike Carey (Republican)

2nd place: Adam Miller (Democrat)

3rd place: Brennan Barrington (Libertarian)

U.S. Senate election predictions

Special election

Primary election predictions to win (primary election on Tuesday, May 5th, 2026):

Democrats:

Sherrod Brown (Democrat) Correct

2nd place: Ron Kincaid (Democrat) Correct

20-28 correct predictions for Democrats in Ohio (18-28 Ohio U.S. House Democrats)

Republicans:

Jon Husted (Republican) Correct

23-8 correct predictions for Republicans in Ohio (22-8 Ohio U.S. House Republicans)

My final predictions before the general election in Ohio are 43 wins and 36 losses.

General election predictions to win:

Jon Husted (Republican)

2nd place: Sherrod Brown (Democrat)

Those are all of my predictions to win for right now! Be sure to come back to this page for my updated and final predictions in Ohio before the General Election.

These predictions are meant to give my personal opinion about who will win each election.

Be sure to follow me on my various social media which you can find on this page for right now. Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter/X @Evan_Troxel. Also, be sure to definitely follow me on Gab @Evan_Troxel  and on Telegram as well at t.me/Evan_Troxel in case I ever get censored and banned from X and Facebook!

I reserve the right to change my predictions before the first day of the General Election. I also can change my predictions AFTER the start of the first day of the General Election ONLY if I decide BEFORE the General Election that I want to change my predictions and I just do not have access to the Internet before the General Election.

LEGAL NOTICE: I DO NOT endorse and I do not encourage people to gamble or bet your own money and other people's money at all! These predictions are not meant to be taken as extremely serious advice for betting and gambling purposes anytime at all in the near future! If you have a gambling problem, please seek help from someone you trust! If you don't trust anyone, you probably need to start trusting certain people in your life more!