Texas 2026 Election Predictions
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By: Evan Troxel
These are my predictions to win the primary election and the general election (for right now, subject to change before like September 25th, 2026,) for the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate Elections (and other elections) for the U.S. state of Texas in 2026.
I also list people who I think support Islam or who I think or terrorists (or who should be put on a terrorist watch list at the very least).
Texas currently has four Democrats and ten Republicans in the U.S. House of Representatives.
Texas has two Republican U.S. Senators. Ted Budd will be sticking around until January 2029. Thom Tillis is retiring at the end of his term in January 2027.
All predictions were made on Tuesday, March 3rd, 2026, unless otherwise noted.
U.S. House Elections
1st Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Dax Alexander; Republicans: Nathaniel Moran
General election: Nathaniel Moran
2nd Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Shaun Finnie; Republicans: Dan Crenshaw
General election: Dan Crenshaw
3rd Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Evan Hunt; Republicans: Keith Self
General election: Keith Self
4th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Jason Pearce; Republicans: Pat Fallon
General election: Pat Fallon
5th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Chelsey Hockett; Republicans: Lance Gooden
General election: Lance Gooden
6th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Danny Minton; Republicans: Jake Ellzey
General election: Jake Ellzey
7th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Lizzie Pannill Fletcher ; Republicans: Alexander Hale
General election: Lizzie Pannill Fletcher
8th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Laura Jones; Republicans: Jessica Steinmann
General election: Jessica Steinmann
9th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Leticia Gutierrez; Republicans: Briscoe Cain (Alex Mealer will win if Briscoe Cain doesn't win)
General election: Briscoe Cain (Alex Mealer will win if Briscoe Cain doesn't win the primary)
10th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Caitlin Rourk; Republicans: Chris Gober
General election: Chris Gober
11th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Claire Reynolds; Republicans: August Pfluger
General election: August Pfluger
12th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Kenneth Morgan-Aguilera; Republicans: Craig Goldman
General election: Craig Goldman
13th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Mark Nair; Republicans: Ronny Jackson
General election: Ronny Jackson
14th Congressional District:
Terrorist &/or Terrorist watch list: Konstantinos Vogiatzis
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Thurman Bill Bartie; Republicans: Randy Weber
General election: Randy Weber
15th Congressional District:
Terrorist &/or Terrorist watch list: Ada Cuellar (She is endorsed by a U.S. Senate candidate (and U.S. Congresswoman) in Texas named Jasmine Crockett)
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Ada Cuellar; Republicans: Monica De La Cruz
General election: Monica De La Cruz
16th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Veronica Escobar; Republicans: Hector Cabildo
General election: Veronica Escobar
17th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Casey Shepherd; Republicans: Pete Sessions
General election: Pete Sessions
18th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Al Green; Republicans: Elizabeth Vences
General election: Al Green
19th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Kyle Rable; Republicans: Tom Sell
General election: Tom Sell
20th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Joaquin Castro; Republicans: Edgardo Baez
General election: Joaquin Castro
U.S. Senate Election
Terrorist &/or terrorist watch list: Ahmad Hassan
Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Jasmine Crockett; Republicans: Ken Paxton
General election: Ken Paxton (Predicted on March 3rd, 2026)
I predict that Republicans will retain their seat in the U.S. Senate.
Those are all of my predictions to win for right now! Be sure to come back to this page for my updated and final predictions in Texas before the General Election.
These predictions are meant to give my personal opinion about who will win each election.
Be sure to follow me on my various social media which you can find on this page for right now. Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter/X @Evan_Troxel. Also, be sure to definitely follow me on Gab @Evan_Troxel and on Telegram as well at t.me/Evan_Troxel in case I ever get censored and banned from X and Facebook!
I reserve the right to change my predictions before the first day of the General Election. I also can change my predictions AFTER the start of the first day of the General Election ONLY if I decide BEFORE the General Election that I want to change my predictions and I just do not have access to the Internet before the General Election.
LEGAL NOTICE: I DO NOT endorse and I do not encourage people to gamble or bet your own money and other people's money at all! These predictions are not meant to be taken as extremely serious advice for betting and gambling purposes anytime at all in the near future! If you have a gambling problem, please seek help from someone you trust! If you don't trust anyone, you probably need to start trusting certain people in your life more!












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