Viriginia 2026 Election Predictions

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By: Evan Troxel

These are my predictions to win the primary election and the general election (for right now, subject to change before like September 25th, 2026,) for the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate Elections (and other elections) for the U.S. state of Virginia in 2026.

I also list people who I think support Islam or who I think or terrorists (or who should be put on a terrorist watch list at the very least).

Virginia currently has six Democrats and five Republicans in the U.S. House of Representatives.

Virginia has two Democratic Party U.S. Senators.

(Predicted on Tuesday, April 21st, 2026, at 9:42 p.m. Eastern Time)

I predict the Democrats will get what they want and the U.S. Congressional redistricting will happen as a part of a ballot measure in the U.S. state of Virginia! That vote is today on Tuesday, April 21st, 2026!

General note: I don't think the Democrats are going to do as well as they think they are going to do now that it appears the Democrats won the redistricting ballot measure vote! I think most of these Democrats are going to lose since they are running in other districts instead of staying in their current U.S. Congressional Districts!

U.S. House Elections

1st Congressional District:

Terrorist watch list: Salaam Bhatti

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Eugene Vindman;

2nd place: Shannon Taylor

3rd place: Jason Knapp

4th place: Salaam Bhatti

5th place: Melvin Tull

6th place: Elizabeth Dempsey Beggs

7th place: James Shea

8th place: Tim Cywinski

9th place: Ericka Kopp

10th place: Lewis Littlepage

Republicans: Rob Wittman

General election: Rob Wittman

2nd Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Elaine Luria;

2nd place: Matt Strickler

3rd place: Nila Devanath

4th place: Patrick Mosolf

5th place: John "Burk" Stringfellow

Republicans: Jen Kiggans

2nd place: William Matthews

Predictions/Ratings for General Election:

Race to the White House (Tilt Democrat/flip)

Cook Political Report (Tossup)

Inside Elections (Tossup)

Sabato's Crystal Ball (Tossup)

General election: Elaine Luria

2nd place: Jen Kiggans (Republican)

3rd place: Makiba Gaines (Independent candidate)

4th place: Bishop Staten (Independent candidate)

5th place: DeVinche Albritton (Independent candidate)

6th place: Ashley Maria Euceda-Mendoza (Independent candidate)

3rd Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Bobby Scott;

2nd place: Justin Maffett

Republicans:

General election: Bobby Scott

2nd place: James "Zeb" Taylor (Independent candidate)

4th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Jennifer McClellan ; Republicans:

General election: Jennifer McClellan

2nd place: Jason Brown II (Independent candidate)

3rd place: Andre Kersey (Independent candidate)

5th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Shannon Taylor;

2nd place: Tom Perriello

3rd place: Robert Tracinski

4th place: Suzanne Krzyzanowski

5th place: Gabriella Bedsworth

Republicans: Bob Good

2nd place: John McGuire

3rd place: Melanie Lucero

General election: Bob Good (likely a Republican win)

3rd place: Chris Register (Independent candidate)

4th place: Cooke Harvey (Independent candidate)

6th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Tom Perriello (Beth Macy if Perriello doesn't run);

2nd place: Beth Macy

3rd place: Pete Barlow

4th place: Ken Mitchell

5th place: Hugh Murray

Republicans: Ben Cline

General election: Ben Cline

7th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Dan Helmer;

2nd place: Eugene Vindman

3rd place: Alex Thymmons

4th place: Jonathan Schmeelk

5th place: Dorothy McAuliffe

6th place: J.P. Cooney

7th place: Matthew Rainforth

8th place: Joe Schiarizzi

9th place: Olivia Troye

10th place: Adele McClure

11th place: Saddam Salim

Republicans: Tara Durant

2nd place: John Gray

3rd place: Douglas Ollivant

4th place: Waverly Washington

General election: Dan Helmer

8th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Don Beyer;

2nd place: Mo Seifeldein

3rd place: Michael Duffin

4th place: Daniel Gray

5th place: Adam Dunigan

6th place: Frank Ferreira

Republicans: Tony Sabio

2nd place: Heerak Christian Kim

3rd place: Luke Nathan Phillips

General election: Don Beyer

9th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Adam Murphy;

2nd place: Joy Powers

3rd place: Brandi Hall

4th place: Douglas Crockett

Republicans: Morgan Griffith

2nd place: Brandon Cook

General election: Morgan Griffith

3rd place: Michael Jackson

10th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Suhas Subramanyam;

Terrorist watch list: Suhas Subramanyam

Republicans: Julie Perry

2nd place: Sam Wong

3rd: Anthony Suttles

General election: Suhas Subramanyam

3rd place: Steven Goforth

11th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: James Walkinshaw

2nd place: Amy Roma

3rd place: Bree Fram

4th place: Stella Pekarsky

Republicans: Nathan Headrick

2nd place: Gavin Solomon (filed paperwork)

General election: James Walkinshaw

U.S. Senate Election

Tim Kaine (Democrat) is the U.S. Senator who will not be up for re-election until the 2030 election.

Primary election predictions to win: Democrats: Mark Warner

Republicans: Kim Farington

General election: Mark Warner

I predict that Democrats will retain their seats in the U.S. Senate.

Those are all of my predictions to win for right now! Be sure to come back to this page for my updated and final predictions in Viriginia before the General Election.

These predictions are meant to give my personal opinion about who will win each election.

Be sure to follow me on my various social media which you can find on this page for right now. Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter/X @Evan_Troxel. Also, be sure to definitely follow me on Gab @Evan_Troxel  and on Telegram as well at t.me/Evan_Troxel in case I ever get censored and banned from X and Facebook!

I reserve the right to change my predictions before the first day of the General Election. I also can change my predictions AFTER the start of the first day of the General Election ONLY if I decide BEFORE the General Election that I want to change my predictions and I just do not have access to the Internet before the General Election.

LEGAL NOTICE: I DO NOT endorse and I do not encourage people to gamble or bet your own money and other people's money at all! These predictions are not meant to be taken as extremely serious advice for betting and gambling purposes anytime at all in the near future! If you have a gambling problem, please seek help from someone you trust! If you don't trust anyone, you probably need to start trusting certain people in your life more!