2024-25 NFL Wild Card Playoffs Predictions To Win
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By: Evan Troxel
These are my predictions to win the 2024-25 National Football League Wild Card playoff games from Saturday, January 11th, 2025, through Monday, January 13th, 2025!
So here is my predictions to win every matchup (for right now) in the Wild Card round of the playoffs!:
My predictions for 2024 National Football League Wild Card round of the playoffs:
All predictions in aqua are from Thursday, January 9th, 2025!
Saturday, January 11th, 2025
4:30 p.m. Eastern Time (3:30 p.m. Central Time) CBS/Paramount+
#5 Los Angeles Chargers 11-6, 6-3 away
402 points for (23.65 points per game for); 301 points against (17.71 points per game against); +101 point differential, +5.94 point differential per game
#4 Houston Texans 10-7, 5-3 away
372 points for (21.88 points per game for); 372 points against (21.88 points per game against); +0 point differential, +0 point differential per game
The Chargers have a +5.94 point differential better than the Texans. So the Chargers really should be -5.5 point favorites to win (I guess).
According to Odds by ESPN BET (as of Tuesday, January 7th, 2025, at approximately 11:30 a.m. Eastern Time)
Los Angeles Chargers: Open -2.5 -120; Spread -2.5 -120; Total Over 42.5 -110; Moneyline -155
Houston Texans: Open Under 44.5 -110; Spread +2.5 Even; Total Under 42.5 -110; Moneyline +135
Los Angeles has a 52.8 percent chance to win while Houston has a 47.2 percent chance to win according to ESPN Analytics Matchup Predictor.
Prediction to win: Los Angeles Chargers
Prediction to lose: Houston Texans
The Chargers should win, but I expect them to actually lose.
Saturday, January 11th, 2025
8:00 p.m. Eastern Time Prime Video
#6 Pittsburgh Steelers 10-7, 5-4 away
380 points for (22.35 points per game for), 347 points against (20.41 points per game against), +33 point differential, +1.94 point differential per game
#3 Baltimore Ravens 12-5, 6-2 home
518 points for (30.47 points per game for), 361 points against (21.24 points against per game), +157 point differential, +9.23 point differential per game
The Ravens have a point differential that is 7.29 better than the Steelers. So the Ravens should be -7 point favorites to win (I guess). Maybe Baltimore should only even be -6.5 point favorites to win.
According to Odds by ESPN BET (as of Tuesday, January 7th, 2025, at 12:10 p.m. Eastern Time)
Pittsburgh Opened at Over 46.5 -110; Spread +10 -115; Total Over 43.5 -110; Moneyline +400
Baltimore Opened at -8.5 -110; Spread -10 -105; Total Under 43.5 -110; Moneyline -600
Pittsburgh has a 27.8 percent chance to win while Baltimore has a 72.2 percent chance to win according to ESPN Analytics Matchup Predictor.
Prediction to win: Baltimore Ravens
Prediction to lose: Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday, January 12th, 2025
1:00 p.m. Eastern Time (11:00 a.m. Mountain Time) CBS/Paramount+
#7 Denver Broncos (10 wins 7 losses in the regular season), 4-5 away
385 points for (22.65 points per game for), 326 points against (19.18 points per game against), +59 point differential, +3.47 point differential per game
#2 Buffalo Bills (13 wins 4 losses in the regular season), 8-0 home
525 points for (30.88 points per game for), 368 points against (21.65 points per game against), +157 point differential, +9.23 point differential per game
The Bills have a better point differential per game of +5.76 than the Broncos. So the Bills should be -5.5 point favorites to win (I guess).
Buffalo opened as an 8 point favorite and it has gone up to 9.5 at 12:05 p.m. Eastern Time on Monday, January 6th, 2025, on the ESPN.com website.
According to Odds by ESPN BET
Denver opened over 47.5 -110; Spread +9.5 -110; Total Over 47.5 -105; Moneyline +360
Buffalo opened -8 -110; Spread -9.5 -110; Total Under 47.5 -115; Moneyline -500
Buffalo has a 68.1 percent chance to win while Denver has a 31.9 percent chance to win according to ESPN Analytics Matchup Predictor.
Prediction to win: Denver Broncos
Prediction to lose: Buffalo Bills
The Bills should win and I won't be surprised if they win.
AFC Divisional Round:
Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
Prediction to win: Baltimore Ravens, Denver Broncos
Predictions to lose: Los Angeles Chargers, Kansas City Chiefs
AFC Championship Game
Prediction to win: Baltimore Ravens
Prediction to lose: Denver Broncos
Sunday, January 12th, 2025
4:30 p.m. Eastern Time (3:30 p.m. Central Time) FOX
#7 Green Bay Packers 11-6, 5-3 Away
460 points for (27.06 points per game for), 338 points against (19.88 points per game against), +122 point differential, +7.18 point differential per game
#2 Philadelphia Eagles 14-3, 8-1 Home
463 points for (27.24 points per game for), 303 points against (17.82 points per game against), +160 point differential, +9.42 point differential per game
Philadelphia has a +2.24 point differential per game better than Green Bay. So the Eagles should be -2 point favorites to win (I guess). Maybe Philadelphia should only even be -1.5 point favorites to win!
According to Odds by ESPN Bet (as of 1:11 p.m. Eastern Time on Tuesday, January 7th, 2025)
Green Bay Opened at Over 46.5 -120; Spread +4.5 -115; Total Over 45.5 -110; Moneyline +190
Philadelphia Opened at -3.5 -105; Spread -4.5 -105; Total Under 45.5 -110; Moneyline -225
Green Bay has a 48.8 percent chance to win while Philadelphia has a 51.2 percent chance to win according to ESPN Analytics Matchup Predictor.
Prediction to win: Philadelphia Eagles
Prediction to lose: Green Bay Packers
The Eagles should win, but I won't be surprised if the Packers win.
#6 Washington Commanders 12-5
#3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10-7
Prediction to win: Washington Commanders
Prediction to lose: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs should win, but this feels like it might be an upset where the Commanders win instead.
According to Odds by ESPN Bet (as of 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time on Friday, January 10th, 2025)
Washington opened over 49.5 -100, Spread +3 -100, Total Over 50.5 -105, Moneyline +140
Tampa Bay opened -2.5 -115, Spread -3 -110, under 50.5 -115, Moneyline -165
Washington 41.7 percent chance to win while Tampa Bay 58.3 percent chance to win according to ESPN Analytics Matchup Predictor.
Gametime temperature expected to be 54 degrees Fahrenheit (ESPN.com)
#5 Minnesota Vikings 14-3
#4 Los Angeles Rams 10-7
According to Odds by ESPN Bet (as of 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time on Friday, January 10th, 2025)
Minnesota opened -2.5 -115, Spread -3 Even, Total over 47.5 -115; Moneyline -145
Los Angeles opened under 47.5 -110, Spread +3 -120, Total under 47.5 -105, Moneyline +125
Minnesota 53.9 percent chance to win while Los Angeles 46.1 percent chance to win according to ESPN Analytics Matchup Predictor.
Gametime temperature expected to be 57 degrees Fahrenheit (ESPN.com)
Prediction to win: Minnesota Vikings
Prediction to lose: Los Angeles Rams
I won't be surprised if the Rams win. They probably are due to lose very soon though since they have had a very great defense lately.
NFC Divisional Round
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions
Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles
Correct stuff for Divisional Round:
Vikings at Eagles
Commanders at Lions
NFC Championship Game
Philadelphia Eagles at Detroit Lions
Super Bowl LIX (59)
Prediction to win: Baltimore Ravens
Prediction to lose: Philadelphia Eagles
The Super Bowl honestly feels like it is going to most likely be Chiefs-Vikings or Chief-Eagles. Maybe even the Eagles winning over the Ravens. Maybe even the Ravens over Commanders.
Those are all of my predictions for right now! Be sure to come back to this website to see all of my predictions in the near future to win and lose for each week of the 2024 NFL regular season and postseason!
Be sure to follow me on my various social media which you can find on this page for right now for any updates or changes in predictions to win or lose before game time. Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter @Evan_Troxel.
I reserve the right to change my predictions before game time. I also can change my predictions AFTER game time ONLY if I decide BEFORE game time that I want to change my predictions and I just do not have access to the Internet before game time.
LEGAL NOTICE: I DO NOT endorse and I do not encourage people to gamble or bet your own money and other people's money at all! These predictions are not meant to be taken as extremely serious advice for betting and gambling purposes anytime at all in the near future!
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