My Alabama 2020 election predictions: U.S. Senate and U.S. House of Representatives

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Here are my predictions for Alabama's Congressional races in 2020. I reserve the right to change my predictions for the general election.

U.S. Senate:

I think the general election in Alabama is too close to call at this point, but I do expect the winner of the Republican primary to win the general election. (I will change my prediction if I think Democrat Doug Jones will win.)

Doug Jones has more combined social media followers on Facebook and Twitter than all of the Republican candidates combined.

Based on the polls, I think Sessions is probably going to win the Republican primary.

But if he doesn’t win, I think it is going to be Byrne, Tuberville or Moore.

If you want me to base my Republican primary prediction off of Facebook and Twitter, then Byrne should win.

Tuberville honestly has a realistic shot to win this primary because he and Sessions poll well and there are problems with Sessions, Byrne and Moore.

Sessions was the Attorney General of the United States for President Trump and recused himself from investigations into Russian election interference in the 2016 U.S. elections with pressure from Democratic lawmakers which led to his downfall as U.S. Attorney General.

Byrne is just not as well-known as Tuberville (although he is a current member of Congress).

Moore’s problems are why he lost to Doug Jones in the 2017 special election with allegations by multiple women of unwanted advances and sexual assaults. He denied sexual misconduct on women but didn’t deny that he approached or dated teenage girls over the age of 16 while he was in his 30s.

Moore also hasn’t gotten any major endorsements this time around from anybody well-known.

Predicted order of finish: Byrne, Sessions, Moore, Tuberville, Mooney, Parrish (Unaffiliated), Adair, Ruth Page Nelson

U.S. House of Representatives:

District 1:

Bill Hightower will win the Republican primary. Kiani Gardner will win the Democratic Party primary. Hightower should win the general election although it’s still too early to say for sure.

Democrats order of finish: Gardner, Averhart, Collins

Republicans order of finish: Hightower, Carl, Pringle, Castorani, Lambert

District 2:

Jeff Coleman (Republican) was leading in the most recent poll I saw (We Ask America) at 43% and Troy King (Republican) also was doing well (at 16%). One of these two guys should win the Republican primary and the general election.

However, Jessica Taylor and Barry Moore, both Republicans, have more Facebook and Twitter “followers” than Coleman and King.

Taylor has the largest Facebook and Twitter presence of any of the candidates.

So I think Taylor is going to win the Republican primary and the general election. And if she doesn’t, then I will default to Moore first, then Coleman, then King.

Jessica Taylor (Republican) vs. Nathan Mathis (Democrat). (Note: I don’t have enough information to confirm which candidate will win the Democratic Party nomination as in either Mathis or Harvey-Hall.)

Jessica Taylor will win the general election.

Democrats: Mathis, Harvey-Hall

Republicans: Taylor, Moore, King, Coleman, Hasdorff, Rogers, Brown Jr.

District 3: Mike Rogers (Republican) vs. Adia Winfrey (Democrat). Mike Rogers will win the general election.

District 4: Robert Aderholt (Republican) will defeat Rick Neighbors (Democrat) in the general election.

District 5: Mo Brooks will defeat Chris Lewis in the Republican primary and then win the general election.

District 6: Gary Palmer (Republican) will defeat Kaynen Pellegrino (Independent) in the general election.

District 7: Terri Sewell (Democrat) will win the general election barring another unknown candidate (at this time) taking away the election.