Boston Red Sox pitchers before May 16th through 18th Houston Astros series
Nathan Eovaldi (Photo from MLB.com Video: https://www.mlb.com/video/nathan-eovaldi-in-play-out-s-to-ozzie-albies-jdd7dz?q=GamePk%20%3D%20%5B661548%5D%20AND%20PlayerId%20%3D%3D%20%5B543135%5D%20Order%20By%20Timestamp%20DESC&cp=CMS_FIRST&p=0)
I am going to provide a few statistics and write my brief thoughts about each pitcher for the Boston Red Sox.
First, I will start off with the pitchers who pitched in yesterday's game at the Texas Rangers.
Austin Davis (0-1, 2.35 ERA, .296 actual wins and .244 actual losses (very true run average), .239 actual losses (true run average), 2.20 true run average and very true run average, 15 1/3 innings pitched)
Sunday's starting pitcher pitched in just 2+ innings.
I agree that Davis earned the right to start and right now he is Boston's best pitcher other than Kevin Plawecki and John Schreiber, but I am still baffled why he was even allowed to start at all!
Davis got removed from the game at the first hint of trouble.
He is ranked fifth in ERA, true run average and earned run average on the Red Sox.
Tanner Houck (2-3, 5.40 ERA, 1.333 actual wins, 2.591 actual losses (very true run average and true run average), 4.73 true run average and very true run average, 26 2/3 innings pitched)
Houck pitched great in relief. Other than giving up a walk and a home run, he was perfect.
He has the third-most wins and the second-most losses on this Red Sox team.
It really is unfair to be lambasting Houck for being unvaccinated when he has actually helped Boston win more games than any starting pitcher who has more starts (or the same amount of starts) than him. Who are those players?
Nathan Eovaldi (two Boston wins in seven starts), Nick Pivetta (one Boston win in seven starts) and Garrett Whitlock (one Boston win in four starts).
Boston has two wins in four Houck starts. The Red Sox had two wins in two Houck starts to start the regular season.
Nathan Eovaldi had two Red Sox wins in his first three starts.
Boston has three wins this regular season in part because of Houck.
The one person who absolutely should be getting lambasted for not pitching well is Nathan Eovaldi! (Or maybe the Boston offense should be! Either way, Eovaldi still has to pitch better.)
The Red Sox have actually won three games and have actually lost four games because of Houck this regular season.
It seems like Houck is going to be a reliever from now on (unless he is used in an emergency situation like on May 8th vs. the Chicago White Sox) because he is unvaccinated.
Boston is 3-5 this regular season when Houck pitches.
Ryan Brasier (0-2, 6.57 ERA, .370 actual wins, 2.488 actual losses (very true run average) 2.480 actual losses (true run average) 9.85 true run average and very true run average, 12 1/3 innings pitched)
I mean, what is there to say at this point?
Objectively, Ryan Brasier is the worst pitcher right now on the Red Sox. To be fair to Brasier though, he has been thrown into more games (16) than any other Boston pitcher so far this regular season.
He has given up a run or a partial run in nine games this regular season and has costed the Red Sox a win in seven of those nine games.
Brasier has actually helped the Red Sox win four games (the same as Michael Wacha and Garrett Whitlock) and the other five Boston pitchers who have started at some point this regular season have actually helped the Red Sox win three or fewer times.
About the only other thing that is saving Brasier from Boston getting rid of him is because of the poor Red Sox offense and the fact that starting pitchers Nathan Eovaldi and Nick Pivetta couldn't close the door more against their opponents.
Tyler Danish (1-0, 3.72 ERA, .333 actual wins, .827 actual losses (very true run average and true run average), 4.89 true run average and very true run average, 9 2/3 innings pitched)
Boston is 2-5 when he pitches. The Red Sox have actually lost only twice because of Danish.
Now I will talk about the other Boston pitchers who did not pitch yesterday.
Matt Barnes (0-3, 7.15 ERA, .259 actual wins, 2.116 actual losses (very true run average), 2.133 actual losses (true run average), 8.14 true run average, 6.95 very true run average, 11 1/3 innings pitched)
Objectively, the third-worst pitcher on the Red Sox right now. Three Boston wins in 13 games.
Has given up a run in seven games and the Red Sox lost all seven games.
Kutter Crawford (1-1, 8.44 ERA, .481 actual wins, .926 actual losses (very true run average), .993 actual losses (true run average), 8.44 true run average, 8.02 very true run average, 10 2/3 innings pitched)
Fourth-worst pitcher on the Red Sox right now. Three Boston wins in eight games.
Has given up a run or a partial run in five games. The Red Sox have lost four of those games.
Jake Diekman (0-0, 3.38 ERA, .852 actual wins, .898 actual losses (very true run average), .925 actual losses (true run average), 5.27 true run average, 4.85 very true run average, 10 2/3 innings pitched)
Seventh-worst Red Sox pitcher right now. Boston has won nine of the 14 games he has pitched in.
Has given up a run in a game five times. The Red Sox have lost four of those games.
Nathan Eovaldi (1-1, 3.15 ERA, 1.074 actual wins, 2.283 actual losses (very true run average), 2.183 actual losses (true run average), 3.15 true run average and very true run average, 40 innings pitched)
Pathetic. Just pathetic. Such a waste of innings pitched. The fact that he doesn't have more than one win at this point is absolutely ridiculous. Eovaldi really should be one of the front-runners for the Cy Young award right now, but the Red Sox just don't want to win ball games on the day he pitches.
Objectively, the tenth-worst pitcher on the Red Sox. So he is not good, but he is not bad either. Eovaldi is ranked 9th in ERA and 7th in true run average and very true run average.
Has given up a run in six of seven starts. Boston lost four of those six games in which he gave up a run.
Out of Eovaldi's five starts the Red Sox did not win, Eovaldi could have 3.468 additional wins right now if Boston won those five additional games.
So yes, would have 4.542 wins if the Red Sox had won every time he has pitched in so far.
In his seven starts, he has pitched at least five innings six times. So he could have six wins right now.
Clearly has underperformed since he leads the team in innings pitched. Only Matt Barnes, Austin Davis, Nick PIvetta, Kevin Plawecki, and Phillips Valdez have not won as much.
Rich Hill (1-1, 2.89 ERA, 1.593 actual wins, .500 actual losses (very true run average and true run average), 3.21 true run average and very true run average, 28 innings pitched)
Ninth-worst pitcher on the Red Sox right now. Boston is 3-3 when he pitches.
Has given up a run(s) in three games and only once has it costed the Red Sox a win.
Nick Pivetta (1-4, 5.08 ERA, .778 actual wins, 2.975 actual losses (very true run average), 2.944 actual losses (true run average), 4.95 true run average and very true run average, 33 2/3 innings pitched)
Fifth-worst pitcher on the Red Sox right now. Boston is 1-6 when he starts this season.
Has given up a run in six starts and the Red Sox lost five of those games. Only once has he not given up any runs in the regular season.
Kevin Plawecki (0-0, 0.00 ERA, 0 actual wins, 0 actual losses, 0.00 true run average and very true run average, 1 inning pitched)
He gave up a single on May 1st to Ryan McKenna of the Baltimore Orioles. Hasn't pitched since.
Hansel Robles (1-1, 2.70 ERA, .778 actual wins, 1.453 actual losses (very true run average), 1.383 actual losses (true run average), 4.39 true run average and very true run average, 13 1/3 innings pitched)
Second-worst pitcher on the Red Sox right now. Boston is 6-7 when he pitches.
Has given up a a partial run or run(s) in five games. The Red Sox lost three of those games.
I don't have a lot of sympathy left for Robles.
I actually do think Robles actually lost these three games that the Red Sox lost (because of him) on purpose! And he probably got paid to do it too! I cannot prove that though!
All three losses ended up going to extra innings.
Hirokazu Sawamura (0-1, 3.27 ERA, .333 wins, .957 actual losses (very true run average), 1.106 actual losses (true run average), 5.32 true run average, 4.91 very true run average, 11 innings pitched)
Eleventh-worst pitcher on the Red Sox right now. Boston is 4-9 when he pitches.
Has given up a partial run or run in four games and the Red Sox lost all four games.
Boston lost the games in the first series of the regular season at Fenway on Friday (Opening Day) and Monday (Boston Marathon Monday and Patriot's Day) and then they lost on April 30th and May 4th.
Fishy. Very fishy. I think Sawamura lost these games on purpose! I cannot prove it, but he probably did!
John Schreiber (0-0, 0.00 ERA, .333 wins, 0 actual losses (true run average and very true run average), 0.00 true run average and very true run average, 7 innings pitched)
Has pitched perfectly so far this regular season. I don't think anyone knows he's even there.
Boston is 2-4 when he pitches. He has pitched in 3 innings when the Red Sox win and 4 innings when they lose.
Matt Strahm (1-1, 2.45 ERA, .630 actual wins, .170 actual losses (very true run average), .167 actual losses (true run average), 1.84 true run average and very true run average, 11 innings pitched)
Sixth in ERA and fourth in true run average and very true run average.
Boston is 6-8 when he pitches.
Has given up a run(s) or partial runs in four games. Boston has lost two of those games.
Is the fourth-best pitcher on the team behind Kevin Plawecki, John Schreiber and Austin Davis.
Phillips Valdez (0-1, 6.10 ERA, 0 actual wins, .828 actual losses (true run average and very true run average), 5.44 true run average and very true run average, 10 1/3 innings pitched)
Hasn't pitched since May 1st. Boston is 0-8 in the games he pitches in.
His ERA and true run average and very true run average is ranked 15th right now on the Red Sox.
Sixth-best pitcher right now for Boston.
Has given up runs in two games and the Red Sox lost both of those games.
He actually only gave up 1.5 runs on April 24th at Tampa Bay (although officially he is getting blamed for 3 runs given up) and on May 1st he gave up 4.75 runs (although officially he is getting blamed for 4 runs given up).
I guess the Red Sox really didn't like what he did on May 1st considering all of it came after a rain delay.
Michael Wacha (3-0, 1.38 ERA, 2.407 actual wins, .333 actual losses (true run average and very true run average), 1.38 true run average and very true run average, 26 innings pitched)
Clearly the best starting pitcher on the Red Sox (if we are not including Austin Davis). Has the most wins for Boston this regular season. Is on the injured list right now.
Third in ERA and run average and true run average.
Fifth-best pitcher on Boston right now. The Red Sox are 4-1 in his starts. He last pitched on May 3rd.
Has given up run(s) in three games. Boston has only lost one of those games.
Garrett Whitlock (1-1, 2.19 ERA, 1.148 actual wins, 1.411 actual losses (very true run average), 1.367 actual losses (true run average), 2.55 true run average and very true run average, 24 2/3 innings pitched)
Has the fourth-most wins on the team.
Is the 11th best (and 8th-worst) pitcher on the Red Sox right now. Fourth in ERA and sixth in true run average and very true run average.
Boston is 4-4 when he pitches and 1-3 when he starts.
Has given up a run(s) or partial run in four games this regular season. The Red Sox lost three of those four games.
Boston lost two of those three games he gave up a run(s) or a partial run in his starts.
Still has not got a win in a Major League start. Could get a win tonight (Monday) if the Red Sox bullpen doesn't allow any runs to score in the top of the sixth inning.
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NOTE: Very true run average and run average include all runs scored. So they are not like earned runs. Very true run average is more accurate than true run average because it doesn't blame a pitcher for allowing a baserunner to start on second base in extra innings. True run average blames the pitcher for allowing a baserunner to start on second base to start extra innings. Other than that, very true run average and true run average are more accurate and truthful than earned run average (earned runs) and run average (runs).
MORE NOTES: All statistics in the story above are from after the Sunday, May 15th, 2022 game and before the Monday, May 16th, 2022 game. This story was posted on Monday, May 16th, 2022.
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Actual won-lost records in the 2022 regular season for Boston Red Sox pitchers depending on the Boston Red Sox win/loss result for any one specific game
NEW: The "wins" are all games that the Boston Red Sox actually won. The "wins" are percentages of innings pitched for each pitcher. All of the percentages of innings pitched (of games the Red Sox actually won) are then added together to get "wins", which is what you see below. The "losses" can be thought of as the percentage of runs any one pitcher allowed the opposing team to score. These percentages of how many runs a pitcher allows in any one game to score are then added together for every game (and only of the games that the Red Sox actually lost) to get "losses". Pitchers who start any extra inning are blamed for allowing a baserunner to start the inning at second base (and any other additional bases they allow that baserunner to advance) if that baserunner eventually scores. The winning percentage is wins divided by wins plus losses.
Matt Barnes .259 wins and 2.133 losses (.108 win pct.)
Ryan Brasier .370 wins and 2.480 losses (.130 win pct.)
Kutter Crawford .481 wins and .993 losses (.327 win pct.)
Tyler Danish .333 wins and .827 losses (.287 win pct.)
Austin Davis .296 wins and .239 losses (.554 win pct.)
Jake Diekman .852 wins and .925 losses (.479 win pct.)
Nathan Eovaldi 1.074 wins and 2.183 losses (.330 win pct.)
Rich Hill 1.593 wins and .500 losses (.761 win pct.)
Tanner Houck 1.333 wins and 2.591 losses (.340 win pct.)
Nick Pivetta 0.778 wins and 2.944 losses (.209 win pct.)
Kevin Plawecki .000 wins and .000 losses (Plawecki hasn't given up any runs or partial runs yet, so that means he's perfect. He also has not appeared in a game yet as a pitcher that the Boston Red Sox actually won. 1.000 win pct.)
Hansel Robles .778 wins and 1.383 losses (.360 win pct.)
Hirokazu Sawamura .333 wins and 1.106 losses (.232 win pct.)
John Schreiber .333 wins and 0.000 losses (1.000 win pct.)
Matt Strahm .630 wins and 0.167 losses (.791 win pct.)
Phillips Valdez 0.000 wins and .828 losses (.000 win pct.)
Michael Wacha 2.407 wins and .333 losses (.878 win pct.)
Garrett Whitlock 1.148 wins and 1.367 losses (.457 win pct.)
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Actual won-lost records in the 2022 regular season for Boston Red Sox pitchers not depending on whether the Boston Red Sox actually win any one specific game or not.
In other words, this tells the complete picture of their entire regular season (the good and the bad) of how many people the pitcher got out (innings pitched) and how many runs the pitcher truthfully gave up (which is more accurate than runs or even earned runs given up). So to make this more easy for people to understand, starting pitchers (or the previous pitcher) don't 100% get blamed for the inherited runner(s) that the reliever(s) (or the next pitcher to pitch) allows to score. The starter (or previous pitcher) will get 25%, 50% or 75% blame for giving up one run instead, for an inherited runner that eventually scores.
Also, a pitcher can get a partial win and a partial loss in the same game. So pitchers that throw more innings pitched are going to get a higher percentage of partial wins and pitchers who give up more runs are going to get a higher percentage of partial losses. So if one pitcher pitches a complete game he will get one win (regardless of the team's win/loss result) and if the pitcher's team actually loses that same game in which he was the only pitcher who pitched for his team, he will also get credit for one loss.
The only time any pitcher cannot take a loss or a partial loss is if the winning team doesn't give up any runs to the team they are playing.
Basically, this is truly giving credit where credit is due among pitchers only.
NEW: The "wins" are percentages of innings pitched for each game for each pitcher. All of the percentages of each game are then added together and the sum total of all percentages for each game are "wins" (whether the Red Sox actually won that specific game or not) and are what you see below. The "losses" can be thought of as the percentage of runs that any one pitcher allowed the opposing team to score for each game. All of the percentages of runs given up for each game are then added together and the sum total of all of those numbers are the "losses" and what you see below. The "losses" presented here are represented as the total number of potential losses that a pitcher could have if the Red Sox actually lost every single game in which a pitcher gave up a run(s). The winning percentage is wins divided by wins plus losses.
VERY FINAL NOTE: To not confuse people, pitchers do get blamed for allowing an opposing baserunner to start any extra inning at second base. When I have presented this detailed information (as you see below) this entire regular season (so far), I have always blamed the pitcher for allowing an opposing baserunner to start any extra inning at second base.
Matt Barnes 1.273 wins and 2.133 losses (.374 win pct.) 11 1/3 innings pitched
Ryan Brasier 1.394 wins and 3.646 losses (.277 win pct.) 12 1/3 innings pitched
Kutter Crawford 1.162 wins and 1.314 losses (.469 win pct.) 10 2/3 innings pitched
Tyler Danish 1.103 wins and 0.827 losses (.571 win pct.) 9 2/3 innings pitched
Austin Davis 1.721 wins and .525 losses (.766 win pct.) 15 1/3 innings pitched
Jake Diekman 1.182 wins and 1.032 losses (.534 win pct.) 10 2/3 innings pitched
Nathan Eovaldi 4.542 wins and 3.469 losses (.567 win pct.) 40 innings pitched
Rich Hill 3.167 wins and 2.500 losses (.559 win pct.) 28 innings pitched
Tanner Houck 3.028 wins and 3.174 losses (.488 win pct.) 26 2/3 innings pitched
Nick Pivetta 3.777 wins and 3.944 losses (.489 win pct.) 33 2/3 innings pitched
Kevin Plawecki .125 wins and .000 losses (Plawecki hasn't given up any runs or partial runs yet, so that means he's perfect. He also has not appeared in a game yet as a pitcher that the Boston Red Sox actually won. 1.000 win pct.) 1 inning pitched
Hansel Robles 1.453 wins and 2.633 losses (.356 win pct.) 13 1/3 innings pitched
Hirokazu Sawamura 1.234 wins and 1.106 losses (.527 win pct.) 11 innings pitched
John Schreiber .795 wins and 0 .000 losses (1.000 win pct.) 7 innings pitched
Matt Strahm 1.220 wins and 0.750 losses (.619 win pct.) 11 innings pitched
Phillips Valdez 1.204 wins and 0.828 losses (.593 win pct.) 10 1/3 innings pitched
Michael Wacha 2.949 wins and 2.000 losses (.596 win pct.) 26 innings pitched
Garrett Whitlock 2.670 wins and 2.117 losses (.558 win pct.) 24 2/3 innings pitched
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Wins, Losses, Holds, Blown Saves and Saves that everybody understands
Matt Barnes 0-3 Blown Saves 1 Saves 1
Ryan Brasier 0-2, Holds 4, Blown Saves 2
Kutter Crawford 1-1
Tyler Danish 1-0
Austin Davis 0-1 Holds 1 Blown Saves 1
Jake Diekman Holds 8 Blown Saves 2 Saves 1
Nathan Eovaldi 1-1
Rich Hill 1-1
Tanner Houck 2-3
Nick Pivetta 1-4
Kevin Plawecki
Hansel Robles 1-1 Holds 6 Blown Saves 2 Saves 1
Hirokazu Sawamura 0-1 Holds 1
John Schreiber Holds 1 Saves 1
Matt Strahm 1-1 Holds 3 Saves 1
Phillips Valdez 0-1
Michael Wacha 3-0
Garrett Whitlock 1-1 Blown Saves 1 Saves 1
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