California 2026 Election Predictions
- Apr 24
- 10 min read
(Search "Election" or "Voting Box Display" on Images in Media from Wix on Wix.com)
By: Evan Troxel
These are my predictions to win the primary election and the general election (for right now, subject to change before like September 25th, 2026,) for the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate Elections (and other elections) for the U.S. state of California in 2026.
I also list people who I think support Islam or who I think or terrorists (or who should be put on a terrorist watch list at the very least).
California currently has 42 Democrats and 7 Republicans, and 1 Independent in the U.S. House of Representatives (with two vacancies currently).
California has two Democratic Party U.S. Senators. Alex Padilla will be up for re-election in 2028. Adam Schiff will be up for re-election in 2030. There will be no U.S. Senate elections for the U.S. state of California in 2026 unless someone dies or is unable to do the job!
(1st through 5th U.S. Congressional Districts predicted on Friday, April 24th, 2026, at 6:20 p.m. Eastern Time)
U.S. House Elections
1st Congressional District:
Special election (from now until January 3rd, 2027, to replace Doug LaMalfa, a Republican, who died)
Primary election predictions to win:
James Gallagher (Republican)
2nd place: Audrey Denney (Democrat)
3rd place: Mike McGuire (Democrat)
4th place: Jot Thiara (Republican)
5th place: Richard Montgomery (Independent)
If the winner of the special election at the primary election level gets more than 50 percent of the vote, there will be no general election for the special election.
Primary election predictions to win (term starts on January 3rd, 2027):
Democrats:
Mike McGuire (Democrat)
2nd place: Audrey Denney (Democrat)
3rd place: James Gallagher (Republican)
4th place: Angelita Valles (Republican)
5th place: Jannice Karrman (Democrat)
Independent candidates who won't finish among the top two candidates:
Timothy Sean Kelly
Richard T. Minner
General election prediction to win: Mike McGuire (Democrat)
2nd Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Jared Huffman (Democrat)
2nd place: Tim Geist (Republican)
3rd place: Rose P. Yee (Democrat)
4th place: Robin Littau (Republican)
5th place: Paul Saulsbury (Republican)
6th place: Gregory Burgess (Independent)
7th place: Nicolette Hahn Niman (Independent)
General election: Jared Huffman (Democrat)
2nd place: Tim Geist (Republican)
3rd Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Ami Bera (Democrat)
2nd place: Heidi Hall (Democrat)
3rd place: Christine Bish (Republican)
4th place: Christopher Bennett (Democrat)
5th place: Lyndon "Pacey" Cervantes (Democrat)
6th place: Robb Tucker (Republican)
7th place: Laura Koscki (Republican)
8th place: Chris Richardson (Green)
General election prediction to win:
Ami Bera (Democrat)
2nd place: Heidi Hall (Democrat) or Christine Bish (Republican)
4th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Mike Thompson (Democrat)
2nd place: Eric Jones (Democrat)
3rd place: Ray Riehle (Republican)
4th place: John Mackenzie (Republican)
5th place: Sharon Brown (Republican)
6th place: Mandy Ghusar (Republican)
7th place: Chuck Uribe (Republican)
8th place: Jimih Jones (Republican)
9th place: Thomas M Roach (Independent)
General election predictions to win:
Mike Thompson (Democrat)
2nd place: Eric Jones (Democrat)
5th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Tom McClintock (Republican)
2nd place: Michael Masuda (Democrat)
3rd place: Michael Barkley (Democrat)
4th place: Dan Stroud (Democrat)
General election predictions to win:
Tom McClintock (Republican)
2nd place: Michael Masuda (Democrat)
6th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Richard Pan (Democrat)
2nd place: Kevin Kiley (Independent)
3rd place: Thien Ho (Democrat)
4th place: Lauren Babb Tomlinson (Democrat)
5th place: Tyler Vandenberg (Democrat)
6th place: Martha Guerrero (Democrat)
7th place: Michael Stansfield (Republican)
General election predictions to win:
Richard Pan (Democrat)
2nd place: Kevin Kiley (Independent)
7th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Doris Matsui (Democrat)
2nd place: Mai Vang (Democrat)
3rd place: Robert Morin (Democrat)
4th place: Enayat Nazhat (Democrat)
5th place: Zachariah Wooden (Republican)
6th place: Ralph Nwobi (Republican)
General election predictions to win:
Doris Matsui (Democrat)
2nd place: Mai Vang (Democrat)
8th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
John Garamendi (Democrat)
2nd place: Nicolas Carjuzaa (Democrat)
3rd place: Rudy Recile (Republican)
4th place: Aaron Rowden (Democrat)
General election predictions to win:
John Garamendi (Democrat)
2nd place: Nicolas Carjuzaa (Democrat)
9th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Josh Harder (Democrat)
2nd place: John McBride (Republican)
3rd place: Martin "Vmann" Veprauskas (Republican)
4th place: Khalid Jeffrey Jafri (Republican)
5th place: Parminder "Happy" Singh (Republican
General election predictions to win:
Josh Harder (Democrat)
2nd place: John McBride (Republican)
10th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Mark DeSaulnier (Democrat)
2nd place: Katherine Piccinni (Republican)
3rd place: Mitchell Maisler (Democrat)
4th place: Angela Griffiths (Republican)
5th place: Joshua Hamilton (Democrat)
6th place: Bob Rowland (Democrat)
7th place: Jeff Frese (Republican)
General election predictions to win:
Mark DeSaulnier (Democrat)
2nd place: Katherine Piccinni (Republican)
11th through 46th U.S. Congressional Districts predicted on Friday, May 29th, 2026.
11th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Scott Weiner (Democrat)
2nd place: Saikat Chakrabarti (Democrat)
3rd place: Connie Chan (Democrat)
General election predictions to win:
Scott Weiner (Democrat)
2nd place: Saikat Chakrabarti (Democrat)
12th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Lateefah Simon (Democrat)
2nd place: Jamie Joyce (Democrat)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Lateefah Simon (Democrat)
2nd place: Jamie Joyce (Democrat)
13th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Kevin Lincoln (Republican)
2nd place: Adam Gray (Democrat)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Kevin Lincoln (Republican)
2nd place: Adam Gray (Democrat)
14th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Aisha Wahab (Democrat) (Heavily endorsed)
2nd place: Melissa Hernandez (Democrat)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Aisha Wahab (Democrat) (Heavily endorsed)
2nd place: Melissa Hernandez (Democrat)
15th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Kevin Mullin (Democrat)
2nd place: Mantosh Kumar (Democrat)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Kevin Mullin (Democrat)
2nd place: Mantosh Kumar (Democrat)
16th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Sam Liccardo (Democrat)
2nd place: Peter Sundin Soule (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Sam Liccardo (Democrat)
2nd place: Peter Sundin Soule (Republican)
17th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Ro Khanna (Democrat)
2nd place: Ethan Agarwal (Democrat)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Ro Khanna (Democrat)
2nd place: Ethan Agarwal (Democrat)
18th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Zoe Lofgren (Democrat)
2nd place: Chris Demers (Independent)
3rd place: Shane Lewis (Republican)
General election predictions to win:
Zoe Lofgren (Democrat)
2nd place: Chris Demers (Independent)
19th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Jimmy Panetta (Democrat)
2nd place: Sean Dougherty (Democrat)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Jimmy Panetta (Democrat)
2nd place: Sean Dougherty (Democrat)
20th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Vince Fong (Republican) (Trump endorsed)
2nd place: Sandra Van Scotter (Democrat)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Vince Fong (Republican)
2nd place: Sandra Van Scotter (Democrat)
21st Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Jim Costa (Democrat)
2nd place: Lorenzo Rios (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Jim Costa (Democrat)
2nd place: Lorenzo Rios (Republican)
22nd Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Randy Villegas (Democrat)
2nd place: David Valadao (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
David Valadao (Republican)
2nd place: Randy Villegas (Democrat)
23rd Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Jay Obernolte (Republican)
2nd place: Karen Leigh Matthews (Independent)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Jay Obernolte (Republican)
2nd place: Karen Leigh Matthews (Independent)
24th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Salud Carbajal (Democrat)
2nd place: Robert Smith (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Salud Carbajal (Democrat)
2nd place: Robert Smith (Republican)
25th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Raul Ruiz (Democrat)
2nd place: Joe Males (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Raul Ruiz (Democrat)
2nd place: Joe Males (Republican)
26th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Jacqui Irwin (Democrat)
2nd place: Samuel Gallucci (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Jacqui Irwin (Democrat)
2nd place: Samuel Gallucci (Republican)
27th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
George Whitesides (Democrat)
2nd place: Jason Gibbs (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
George Whitesides (Democrat)
2nd place: Jason Gibbs (Republican)
28th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Judy Chu (Democrat)
2nd place: April Verlato (Republican)
3rd place: Peter Roybal (Democrat)
General election predictions to win:
Judy Chu (Democrat)
2nd place: April Verlato (Republican)
29th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Luz Rivas (Democrat)
2nd place: Angelica Maria Duenas (Democrat)
3rd place: Rudy Melendez (Republican)
General election predictions to win:
Luz Rivas (Democrat)
2nd place: Angelica Maria Duenas (Democrat)
30th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Laura Friedman (Democrat)
2nd place: Scott Meyers (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Laura Friedman (Democrat)
2nd place: Scott Meyers (Republican)
31st Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Gil Cisneros (Democrat)
2nd place: Eric Ching (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Gil Cisneros (Democrat)
2nd place: Eric Ching (Republican)
32nd Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Brad Sherman (Democrat)
2nd place: Jake Levine (Democrat)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Brad Sherman (Democrat)
2nd place: Jake Levine (Democrat)
33rd Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Pete Aguilar (Democrat)
2nd place: Eugene Weems (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Pete Aguilar (Democrat)
2nd place: Eugene Weems (Republican)
34th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Jimmy Gomez (Democrat)
2nd place: Rob Lucero (Democrat)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Jimmy Gomez (Democrat)
2nd place: Rob Lucero (Democrat)
35th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Norma Torres (Democrat)
2nd place: Mike Cargile (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Norma Torres (Democrat)
2nd place: Mike Cargile (Republican)
36th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Ted Lieu (Democrat)
2nd place: Melissa Toomim (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Ted Lieu (Democrat)
2nd place: Melissa Toomim (Republican)
37th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Sydney Kamlager-Dove (Democrat)
2nd place: Todd Lombardo (Democrat)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Sydney Kamlager-Dove (Democrat)
2nd place: Todd Lombardo (Democrat)
38th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Hilda Solis (Democrat)
2nd place: Monica Sanchez (Democrat)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Hilda Solis (Democrat)
2nd place: Monica Sanchez (Democrat)
39th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Mark Takano (Democrat)
2nd place: Steve Manos (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Mark Takano (Democrat)
2nd place: Steve Manos (Republican)
40th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Ken Calvert (Republican)
2nd place: Esther Kim Varet (Democrat)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Ken Calvert (Republican)
2nd place: Esther Kim Varet (Democrat)
41st Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Linda Sanchez (Democrat)
2nd place: Hector De La Torre (Democrat)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Linda Sanchez (Democrat)
2nd place: Hector De La Torre (Democrat)
42nd Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Robert Garcia (Democrat)
2nd place: Brian Burley (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Robert Garcia (Democrat)
2nd place: Brian Burley (Republican)
43rd Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Maxine Waters (Democrat)
2nd place: Myla Rahman (Democrat)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Maxine Waters (Democrat)
2nd place: Myla Rahman (Democrat)
44th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Nanette Barragan (Democrat)
2nd place: Genevieve Angel (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Nanette Barragan (Democrat)
2nd place: Genevieve Angel (Republican)
45th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Derek Tran (Democrat)
2nd place: Chi Charlie Nguyen (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Derek Tran (Democrat)
2nd place: Chi Charlie Nguyen (Republican)
46th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Lou Correa (Democrat)
2nd place: David Pan (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Lou Correa (Democrat)
2nd place: David Pan (Republican)
47th through 52nd U.S. Congressional Districts predicted on Friday, May 29th, 2026.
47th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
David Min (Democrat)
2nd place: Eric Troutman (Independent)
3rd place: Michael Maxsenti (Republican)
General election predictions to win:
David Min (Democrat)
2nd place: Eric Troutman (Independent)
3rd place: Michael Maxsenti (Republican)
48th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Ammar Campa-Najjar (Democrat)
2nd place: Jim Desmond (Republican)
3rd place: Marni von Wilpert (Democrat)
General election predictions to win:
Ammar Campa-Najjar (Democrat)
2nd place: Jim Desmond (Republican)
3rd place:
49th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Mike Levin (Democrat)
2nd place: Star Parker (Republican)
3rd place: Armen Kurdian (Republican)
General election predictions to win:
Mike Levin (Democrat)
2nd place: Star Parker (Republican)
3rd place:
50th Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Scott Peters (Democrat)
2nd place: Aishwarya Mitra (Democrat)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Scott Peters (Democrat)
2nd place: Aishwarya Mitra (Democrat)
3rd place:
51st Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Sara Jacobs (Democrat)
2nd place: Ricardo Cabrera (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Sara Jacobs (Democrat)
2nd place: Ricardo Cabrera (Republican)
3rd place:
52nd Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Juan Vargas (Democrat)
2nd place: Jeff Belle (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Juan Vargas (Democrat)
2nd place: Jeff Belle (Republican)
3rd place:
The Gubernatorial, Lieutenant Gubernatorial, Attorney General, Secretary of State and Los Angeles mayoral elections were predicted on Friday afternoon, May 29th, 2026!
Gubernatorial Election
Primary election predictions to win:
Xavier Becerra (Democrat)
2nd place: Steve Hilton (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Xavier Becerra (Democrat)
2nd place: Steve Hilton (Republican)
3rd place:
Lieutenant Gubernatorial Election
Primary election predictions to win:
Fiona Ma (Democrat)
2nd place: David Fennell (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Fiona Ma (Democrat)
2nd place: David Fennell (Republican)
3rd place:
Attorney General Election
Primary election predictions to win:
Rob Bonta (Democrat)
2nd place: Michael Gates (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Rob Bonta (Democrat)
2nd place: Michael Gates (Republican)
3rd place:
Secretary of State Election
Primary election predictions to win:
Shirley Weber (Democrat)
2nd place: Don Wagner (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Shirley Weber (Democrat)
2nd place: Don Wagner (Republican)
3rd place:
Los Angeles Mayor Election
Primary election predictions to win:
Karen Bass (Democrat)
2nd place: Spencer Pratt (Republican)
3rd place:
General election predictions to win:
Shirley Weber (Democrat)
2nd place: Spencer Pratt (Republican)
3rd place:
Here are webpages to my predictions for Primary Elections in several U.S. States during the 2026 Election cycle:
If you want to find any of my stories, you can just go to my blog on my website as that is where most of my stories are at!
Those are all of my predictions to win for right now! Be sure to come back to this page for my updated and final predictions in California before the General Election.
These predictions are meant to give my personal opinion about who will win each election.
Be sure to follow me on my various social media which you can find on this page for right now. Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter/X @Evan_Troxel. Also, be sure to definitely follow me on Gab @Evan_Troxel and on Telegram as well at t.me/Evan_Troxel in case I ever get censored and banned from X and Facebook!
I reserve the right to change my predictions before the first day of the General Election. I also can change my predictions AFTER the start of the first day of the General Election ONLY if I decide BEFORE the General Election that I want to change my predictions and I just do not have access to the Internet before the General Election.
LEGAL NOTICE: I DO NOT endorse and I do not encourage people to gamble or bet your own money and other people's money at all! These predictions are not meant to be taken as extremely serious advice for betting and gambling purposes anytime at all in the near future! If you have a gambling problem, please seek help from someone you trust! If you don't trust anyone, you probably need to start trusting certain people in your life more!
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