California 2026 Election Predictions

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By: Evan Troxel

These are my predictions to win the primary election and the general election (for right now, subject to change before like September 25th, 2026,) for the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate Elections (and other elections) for the U.S. state of California in 2026.

I also list people who I think support Islam or who I think or terrorists (or who should be put on a terrorist watch list at the very least).

California currently has 42 Democrats and 7 Republicans, and 1 Independent in the U.S. House of Representatives (with two vacancies currently).

California has two Democratic Party U.S. Senators.

(1st through 5th U.S. Congressional Districts predicted on Friday, April 24th, 2026, at 6:20 p.m. Eastern Time)

U.S. House Elections

1st Congressional District:

Special election (from now until January 3rd, 2027, to replace Doug LaMalfa, a Republican, who died)

Primary election predictions to win:

James Gallagher (Republican)

2nd place: Audrey Denney (Democrat)

3rd place: Mike McGuire (Democrat)

4th place: Jot Thiara (Republican)

5th place: Richard Montgomery (Independent)

Primary election predictions to win (term starts on January 3rd, 2027):

Democrats:

Mike McGuire (Democrat)

2nd place: Audrey Denney (Democrat)

3rd place: James Gallagher (Republican)

4th place: Angelita Valles (Republican)

5th place: Jannice Karrman (Democrat)

Independent candidates who won't finish among the top two candidates:

Timothy Sean Kelly

Richard T. Minner

General election prediction to win: Mike McGuire (Democrat)

2nd Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Jared Huffman (Democrat)

2nd place: Tim Geist (Republican)

3rd place: Rose P. Yee (Democrat)

4th place: Robin Littau (Republican)

5th place: Paul Saulsbury (Republican)

6th place: Gregory Burgess (Independent)

7th place: Nicolette Hahn Niman (Independent)

General election: Jared Huffman (Democrat)

2nd place: Tim Geist (Republican)

3rd Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Ami Bera (Democrat)

2nd place: Heidi Hall (Democrat)

3rd place: Christine Bish (Republican)

4th place: Christopher Bennett (Democrat)

5th place: Lyndon "Pacey" Cervantes (Democrat)

6th place: Robb Tucker (Republican)

7th place: Laura Koscki (Republican)

8th place: Chris Richardson (Green)

General election prediction to win:

Ami Bera (Democrat)

2nd place: Heidi Hall (Democrat) or Christine Bish (Republican)

4th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Mike Thompson (Democrat)

2nd place: Eric Jones (Democrat)

3rd place: Ray Riehle (Republican)

4th place: John Mackenzie (Republican)

5th place: Sharon Brown (Republican)

6th place: Mandy Ghusar (Republican)

7th place: Chuck Uribe (Republican)

8th place: Jimih Jones (Republican)

9th place: Thomas M Roach (Independent)

General election predictions to win:

Mike Thompson (Democrat)

2nd place: Eric Jones (Democrat)

5th Congressional District:

Primary election predictions to win:

Tom McClintock (Republican)

2nd place: Michael Masuda (Democrat)

3rd place: Michael Barkley (Democrat)

4th place: Dan Stroud (Democrat)

General election predictions to win:

Tom McClintock (Republican)

2nd place: Michael Masuda (Democrat)

Those are all of my predictions to win for right now! Be sure to come back to this page for my updated and final predictions in California before the General Election.

These predictions are meant to give my personal opinion about who will win each election.

Be sure to follow me on my various social media which you can find on this page for right now. Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter/X @Evan_Troxel. Also, be sure to definitely follow me on Gab @Evan_Troxel  and on Telegram as well at t.me/Evan_Troxel in case I ever get censored and banned from X and Facebook!

I reserve the right to change my predictions before the first day of the General Election. I also can change my predictions AFTER the start of the first day of the General Election ONLY if I decide BEFORE the General Election that I want to change my predictions and I just do not have access to the Internet before the General Election.

LEGAL NOTICE: I DO NOT endorse and I do not encourage people to gamble or bet your own money and other people's money at all! These predictions are not meant to be taken as extremely serious advice for betting and gambling purposes anytime at all in the near future! If you have a gambling problem, please seek help from someone you trust! If you don't trust anyone, you probably need to start trusting certain people in your life more!