Kentucky 2026 Election Predictions
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By: Evan Troxel
These are my predictions to win the primary election and the general election (for right now, subject to change before like September 25th, 2026,) for the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate Elections (and other elections) for the U.S. state of Kentucky in 2026.
I also list people who I think support Islam or who I think or terrorists (or who should be put on a terrorist watch list at the very least).
Kentucky currently has 2 Democrats and 5 Republicans, in the U.S. House of Representatives.
Kentucky has two Republican Party U.S. Senators currently. Rand Paul will be a U.S. Senator at least until the actual year of 2029 and sometime after the 2028 election (if she doesn't die first or is forced to resign for simply being physically incapable of doing the job)! Mitch McConnell decided to not run for re-election this year.
The primary is on Tuesday, May 19th, 2026. The general election will be on November 3rd, 2026.
Here are President Trump's endorsements for the U.S. state of Kentucky by U.S. Congressional District. All of his endorsements are Republicans (or at least they should be regardless of your personal political beliefs):
1st: James Comer
2nd: Brett Guthrie
4th: Ed Gallrein
5th: Hal Rogers
6th: Ralph Alvarado
U.S. Senate: Andy Barr
(Predicted on Friday, May 15th, 2026, at 6:54 p.m. Eastern Time)
U.S. House Elections
1st Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win (term starts on January 3rd, 2027):
Democrats:
John "Drew" Williams (Democrat)
Republicans:
James Comer (Republican)
2nd place: David Sims (Republican)
3rd place: Penny Arcos (Republican)
4th place: Bob Sutherby (Republican)
General election prediction to win:
James Comer (Republican)
2nd place: John "Drew" Williams (Democrat)
2nd Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Democrats:
Winner: William Compton (Democrat)
2nd place: Hank Linderman (Democrat)
3rd place: David Hatfield
4th place: Megan Wingfield
(I won't be surprised if Hank Linderman defeats William Compton in the primary election!)
Republicans:
Brett Guthrie (Republican)
2nd place: G. Shay Perry-Adelmann
3rd place: Joshua Ferguson
General election prediction to win:
Brett Guthrie (Republican)
2nd place: William Compton (Democrat)
3rd U.S. Congressional District
Primary election predictions to win (term starts on January 3rd, 2027):
Democrats:
Morgan McGarvey (Democrat)
Oumou Diallo (Democrat)
Republicans:
Daniel Cobble (Republican)
2nd place: Maria Teresa Rodriguez (Republican)
3rd place: Donald Pay
4th place: David Nichter
General election prediction to win:
Morgan McGarvey (Democrat)
2nd place: Daniel Cobble (Republican)
4th U.S. Congressional District
Primary election predictions to win (term starts on January 3rd, 2027):
Democrats:
Jesse Brewer (Democrat)
2nd place: Melissa Strange (Democrat)
Republicans:
Thomas Massie (Republican)
2nd place: Ed Gallrein
General election prediction to win:
Thomas Massie (Republican)
2nd place: Jesse Brewer (Democrat)
5th U.S. Congressional District
Primary election predictions to win (term starts on January 3rd, 2027):
Democrats:
Ned Pillersdorf (Democrat)
2nd place: Mike Wein (Democrat)
3rd place: Billy Ray Wilson
Republicans:
1st: Brandon Monhollen (Republican)
2nd: Hal Rogers (Republican)\
3rd: Benjamin Hurley
4th: Kevin Smith
5th: Jerry Shelton
General election prediction to win:
Brandon Monhollen (Republican)
2nd place: Ned Pillersdorf (Democrat)
6th U.S. Congressional District
Primary election predictions to win (term starts on January 3rd, 2027):
Democrats:
Zach Dembo (Democrat)
2nd place: Cherlynn Stevenson (Democrat)
3rd place: Erin Petrey (Democrat)
4th place: David Kloiber (Democrat)
5th place: Corey Brooks
6th place: Jimmy Ausbrooks
7th place: Harvey Carroll
Republicans:
Ralph Alvarado (Republican)
2nd place: Ryan Dotson (Republican)
3rd: Greg Plucinski (Republican)
4th: Steve Shannon (Republican)
Kentucky:
Pete Lynch (Kentucky)
Independent:
Jay Bowman (Independent)
General election prediction to win:
Ralph Alvarado (Republican)
2nd place: Keith Pilkington (Democrat)
3rd: Jay Bowman (Independent)
4th: Pete Lynch (Kentucky)
5th: Robert Quigley (Independent)
U.S. Senate election predictions
Andy Barr, a Republican, has President Donald Trump's endorsement.
Here are webpages to my predictions for Primary Elections in several U.S. States during the 2026 Election cycle:
If you want to find any of my stories, you can just go to my blog on my website as that is where most of my stories are at!
Those are all of my predictions to win for right now! Be sure to come back to this page for my updated and final predictions in Kentucky before the General Election.
These predictions are meant to give my personal opinion about who will win each election.
Be sure to follow me on my various social media which you can find on this page for right now. Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter/X @Evan_Troxel. Also, be sure to definitely follow me on Gab @Evan_Troxel and on Telegram as well at t.me/Evan_Troxel in case I ever get censored and banned from X and Facebook!
I reserve the right to change my predictions before the first day of the General Election. I also can change my predictions AFTER the start of the first day of the General Election ONLY if I decide BEFORE the General Election that I want to change my predictions and I just do not have access to the Internet before the General Election.
LEGAL NOTICE: I DO NOT endorse and I do not encourage people to gamble or bet your own money and other people's money at all! These predictions are not meant to be taken as extremely serious advice for betting and gambling purposes anytime at all in the near future! If you have a gambling problem, please seek help from someone you trust! If you don't trust anyone, you probably need to start trusting certain people in your life more!
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