Idaho 2026 Election Predictions
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By: Evan Troxel
These are my predictions to win the primary election and the general election (for right now, subject to change before like September 25th, 2026,) for the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate Elections (and other elections) for the U.S. state of Idaho in 2026.
I also list people who I think support Islam or who I think or terrorists (or who should be put on a terrorist watch list at the very least).
Idaho currently has 0 Democrats and 2 Republicans, in the U.S. House of Representatives.
Idaho has two Republican Party U.S. Senators currently. Mike Crapo will be a U.S. Senator at least until the actual year of 2029 and sometime after the 2028 election (if he doesn't die first or is forced to resign for simply being physically incapable of doing the job)! Jim Risch is up for re-election this year and if he wins he will be sticking around until sometime after the 2032 election.
The primary is on Tuesday, May 19th, 2026. The general election is on November 3rd, 2026.
Here are President Trump's endorsements for the U.S. state of Idaho by U.S. Congressional District. All of his endorsements are Republicans (or at least they should be regardless of your personal political beliefs):
1st: Russ Fulcher
2nd: Mike Simpson
U.S. Senate: Jim Risch
(Predicted on Friday, May 15th, 2026, at 3:13 p.m. Eastern Time)
U.S. House Elections
1st Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win (term starts on January 3rd, 2027):
Democrats:
Kaylee Peterson (Democrat)
2nd place: Ken Brungardt (Democrat)
Republicans:
Russ Fulcher (Republican)
2nd place: Andy Briner (Republican)
3rd place: Joseph Morrison (Republican)
Constitution:
Brendan Gomez
Independent:
Sarah Zabel
General election prediction to win:
Russ Fulcher (Republican)
2nd place: Kaylee Peterson (Democrat)
3rd place: Sarah Zabel (Independent)
4th place: Brendan Gomez (Constitution)
2nd Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Democrats:
Winner: Elinor Gilbreath (Democrat)
Julie Wiley (Democrat)
Republicans:
Mike Simpson (Republican)
2nd place: Perry Shumway
3rd place: Brian Keene
(I decided to switch Perry and Brian around on May 15th, 2026, at 3:47 p.m. Eastern Time).
Libertarian:
Will Johanson (Libertarian)
Constitution:
Carta Sierra (a.k.a. Idaho Law) (Constitution)
Independent:
Tripp Hutchinson (Independent)
Emre Houser (Independent)
General election prediction to win:
Mike Simpson (Republican)
2nd place: Elinor Gilbreath (Democrat)
3rd place: Tripp Hutchinson (Independent)
4th place: Emre Houser (Independent)
5th place: Carta Sierra (a.k.a. Idaho Law) (Constitution)
6th place: Will Johanson (Libertarian)
U.S. Senate election predictions
Jim Risch, a Republican, has President Donald Trump's endorsement.
Primary election predictions to win
Democrats:
David Roth (Democrat)
2nd place: Nickolas Bonds (Democrat)
3rd place: Brad Moore (Democrat)
Republicans:
1st place: Jim Risch (Republican)
2nd place: Denny Lave (Republican)
3rd place: Josh Roy (Republican)
4th place: Joe Evans (Republican)
Libertarian:
Matt Loesby (Libertarian)
Independent:
Todd Achilles (Independent)
2nd place: Natalie Fleming (Independent)
General Election
Winner: Jim Risch (Republican)
2nd place: Todd Achilles (Independent)
3rd place: David Roth (Democrat)
4th place: Natalie Fleming (Independent)
5th place: Matt Loesby (Libertarian)
Gubernatorial (Governor) election predictions
Brad Little, a Republican, has President Donald Trump's endorsement.
Primary election predictions to win
Democrats:
Maxine Durand (Democrat)
2nd place: Jill Kirkham (Democrat)
3rd place: Terri Pickens (Democrat)
4th place: Chanelle Torrez (Democrat)
Republicans:
1st place: Brad Little (Republican)
2nd place: Mark Fitzpatrick (Republican)
3rd place: Lisa Marie (Republican)
4th place: Justin Plante
5th place: Ethan Giles
6th place: Daniel Fowler
7th place: Sean Calvert Crystal
8th place: Ron James (Republican)
Libertarian:
Paul Sand (Libertarian)
Melissa Sue-Robinson (Libertarian)
Constitution
Pro-Life (yes, that's the actual name a.k.a. Marvin Thomas Richardson) (Constitution)
Independent:
John Stegner (Independent)
General Election
Winner: Brad Little (Republican)
2nd place: Maxine Durand (Democrat)
3rd place: Pro-Life (yes, that's the actual name a.k.a. Marvin Thomas Richardson) (Constitution)
4th place: Melissa Sue-Robinson (Libertarian)
5th place: John Stegner (Independent)
6th place: Jacob Burnett (independent, write-in)
Lieutenant Gubernatorial (Lieutenant Governor) election predictions
Primary election predictions to win
Democrats:
Eric Myricks (Democrat)
Republicans:
1st place: Scott Bedke (Republican)
General election predictions to win:
1st place: Scott Bedke (Republican)
2nd place: Eric Myricks (Democrat)
Attorney General election predictions
Primary election predictions to win
Democrats:
Lori Hickman (Democrat)
Republicans:
1st place: Raul Labrador (Republican, born in Carolina, Puerto Rico)
General election predictions to win:
1st place: Raul Labrador (Republican)
2nd place: Lori Hickman (Democrat)
Secretary of State election predictions
Primary election predictions to win
Democrats:
1st place: Shawn Keenan (Democrat)
Republicans:
1st place: Phil McGrane (Republican)
General election predictions to win:
1st place: Phil McGrane (Republican)
2nd place: Shawn Keenan (Democrat)
Here are webpages to my predictions for Primary Elections in several U.S. States during the 2026 Election cycle:
If you want to find any of my stories, you can just go to my blog on my website as that is where most of my stories are at!
Those are all of my predictions to win for right now! Be sure to come back to this page for my updated and final predictions in Idaho before the General Election.
These predictions are meant to give my personal opinion about who will win each election.
Be sure to follow me on my various social media which you can find on this page for right now. Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter/X @Evan_Troxel. Also, be sure to definitely follow me on Gab @Evan_Troxel and on Telegram as well at t.me/Evan_Troxel in case I ever get censored and banned from X and Facebook!
I reserve the right to change my predictions before the first day of the General Election. I also can change my predictions AFTER the start of the first day of the General Election ONLY if I decide BEFORE the General Election that I want to change my predictions and I just do not have access to the Internet before the General Election.
LEGAL NOTICE: I DO NOT endorse and I do not encourage people to gamble or bet your own money and other people's money at all! These predictions are not meant to be taken as extremely serious advice for betting and gambling purposes anytime at all in the near future! If you have a gambling problem, please seek help from someone you trust! If you don't trust anyone, you probably need to start trusting certain people in your life more!
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