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Nathan Eovaldi has the most potential losses of any Boston Red Sox pitcher right now


Nathan Eovaldi (Photo from MLB.com Video: https://www.mlb.com/gameday/astros-vs-red-sox/2022/05/17/663271#game_state=final,lock_state=final,game_tab=videos,game=663271)


Nathan Eovaldi sucks. This entire regular season has been a letdown if you are a fan of Boston Red Sox starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi and want to see him pitch well.


Entering Tuesday night's game, Nathan Eovaldi would have lost 3.569 games if the Red Sox would have lost every single time he gave up a run(s) or a partial run.


The only Red Sox pitchers to have potentially lost more than Eovaldi before Tuesday night's game are Nick PIvetta (3.975) and Ryan Brasier (3.655).


After Tuesday's game, Eovaldi is in first place among all Boston pitchers for the most potential losses for the Red Sox (4.261) this regular season. The only good news about Eovaldi being in such a category is that he has given up a majority of the runs when he pitches.


He has given up 60% or more of the very true runs and 50% or more of the true runs to the opponent in four Red Sox losses this year.


Eovaldi is responsible for 2.642 losses (very true runs) and 2.542 losses (true runs) in just four Boston losses on April 8th, May 6th, May 11th and May 17th.


So in other words, he is 66.05% responsible (very true runs) and 63.55% responsible (true runs) just for those four losses.


Eovaldi is responsible for giving up 23 runs out of 42.5 very true runs (54.12%) and 23 runs out of 44 true runs (52.27%) this regular season.


He has now given up 20 runs when the Boston Red Sox lose. That is the worst on the team. He has also given up 17 earned runs in Boston losses which is the second-worst on the team and only behind Nick Pivetta for the worst at 18 earned runs.


Eovaldi has given up 23 runs this regular season and 20 earned runs which is clearly the worst on the team.


He is now ranked 11th on the team with a 4.32 ERA and 13th on the team with a 4.97 true run average and very true run average.


Eovaldi has actually lost more games for the Red Sox than any other Red Sox pitcher.


Based on very true run average, he has the most actual losses on the team at 2.976 (compared to Nick Pivetta's 2.975 losses) and based on true run average he has the second-most actual losses at 2.876 (compared to Nick PIvetta's 2.944 losses).


Eovaldi's true run average and very true run average is so awful that he is the worst starting pitcher on this Red Sox team right now. Nick Pivetta is the second-worst starting pitcher with a 4.95 true run average and very true run average.


People really ought to know that Nick PIvetta (18.5 very true runs), Tanner Houck (14), Ryan Brasier (13.5) and Rich Hill (10) are among the leaders in very true runs behind Eovaldi (23) in giving up runs to the Boston opponents.


Eovaldi should be ranked as the fifth-best starting pitcher on this team right now (and that includes Austin Davis and Garrett Whitlock). Only Nick PIvetta and Tanner Houck are worse (and Houck IS NOT the worst)!


It really is getting old to say that certain relief pitchers on the Red Sox should be sent down to the minors, designated for assignment or released when Eovaldi's won-lost record is terrible largely because the Red Sox offense simply has not shown up and everyone knows Eovaldi is better than what he has shown this entire regular season.


If certain relief pitchers were really so awful, they would be worse than Eovaldi right now (and you could say all of them are not worse than Eovaldi based alone on how many runs each pitcher has given up).


The question right now on everybody's mind is this, how much better can Eovaldi actually get?


...


NOTE: Very true run average and run average include all runs scored. So they are not like earned runs. Very true run average is more accurate than true run average because it doesn't blame a pitcher for allowing a baserunner to start on second base in extra innings. True run average blames the pitcher for allowing a baserunner to start on second base to start extra innings. Other than that, very true run average and true run average are more accurate and truthful than earned run average (earned runs) and run average (runs).

MORE NOTES: All statistics in the story above are from after the Tuesday, May 17th, 2022 game and before the Wednesday, May 18th, 2022 game. This story was posted on Wednesday, May 18th, 2022.



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Actual won-lost records in the 2022 regular season for Boston Red Sox pitchers depending on the Boston Red Sox win/loss result for any one specific game


NEW: The "wins" are all games that the Boston Red Sox actually won. The "wins" are percentages of innings pitched for each pitcher. All of the percentages of innings pitched (of games the Red Sox actually won) are then added together to get "wins", which is what you see below. The "losses" can be thought of as the percentage of runs any one pitcher allowed the opposing team to score. These percentages of how many runs a pitcher allows in any one game to score are then added together for every game (and only of the games that the Red Sox actually lost) to get "losses". Pitchers who start any extra inning are blamed for allowing a baserunner to start the inning at second base (and any other additional bases they allow that baserunner to advance) if that baserunner eventually scores. The winning percentage is wins divided by wins plus losses.


Matt Barnes .296 wins and 2.133 losses (.122 win pct.)

Ryan Brasier .370 wins and 2.480 losses (.130 win pct.)

Kutter Crawford .481 wins and .993 losses (.327 win pct.)

Tyler Danish .333 wins and 1.135 losses (.227 win pct.)

Austin Davis .296 wins and .239 losses (.554 win pct.)

Jake Diekman .926 wins and .925 losses (.500 win pct.)

Nathan Eovaldi 1.074 wins and 2.876 losses (.272 win pct.)

Rich Hill 1.593 wins and .500 losses (.761 win pct.)

Tanner Houck 1.333 wins and 2.591 losses (.340 win pct.)

Nick Pivetta 0.778 wins and 2.944 losses (.209 win pct.)

Kevin Plawecki .000 wins and .000 losses (Plawecki hasn't given up any runs or partial runs yet, so that means he's perfect. He also has not appeared in a game yet as a pitcher that the Boston Red Sox actually won. 1.000 win pct.)

Hansel Robles .889 wins and 1.383 losses (.391 win pct.)

Hirokazu Sawamura .333 wins and 1.106 losses (.232 win pct.)

John Schreiber .370 wins and 0.000 losses (1.000 win pct.)

Matt Strahm .815 wins and 0.167 losses (.830 win pct.)

Phillips Valdez 0.000 wins and .828 losses (.000 win pct.)

Michael Wacha 2.407 wins and .333 losses (.878 win pct.)

Garrett Whitlock 1.704 wins and 1.367 losses (.555 win pct.)


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Actual won-lost records in the 2022 regular season for Boston Red Sox pitchers not depending on whether the Boston Red Sox actually win any one specific game or not.


In other words, this tells the complete picture of their entire regular season (the good and the bad) of how many people the pitcher got out (innings pitched) and how many runs the pitcher truthfully gave up (which is more accurate than runs or even earned runs given up). So to make this more easy for people to understand, starting pitchers (or the previous pitcher) don't 100% get blamed for the inherited runner(s) that the reliever(s) (or the next pitcher to pitch) allows to score. The starter (or previous pitcher) will get 25%, 50% or 75% blame for giving up one run instead, for an inherited runner that eventually scores.


Also, a pitcher can get a partial win and a partial loss in the same game. So pitchers that throw more innings pitched are going to get a higher percentage of partial wins and pitchers who give up more runs are going to get a higher percentage of partial losses. So if one pitcher pitches a complete game he will get one win (regardless of the team's win/loss result) and if the pitcher's team actually loses that same game in which he was the only pitcher who pitched for his team, he will also get credit for one loss.


The only time any pitcher cannot take a loss or a partial loss is if the winning team doesn't give up any runs to the team they are playing.


Basically, this is truly giving credit where credit is due among pitchers only.


NEW: The "wins" are percentages of innings pitched for each game for each pitcher. All of the percentages of each game are then added together and the sum total of all percentages for each game are "wins" (whether the Red Sox actually won that specific game or not) and are what you see below. The "losses" can be thought of as the percentage of runs that any one pitcher allowed the opposing team to score for each game. All of the percentages of runs given up for each game are then added together and the sum total of all of those numbers are the "losses" and what you see below. The "losses" presented here are represented as the total number of potential losses that a pitcher could have if the Red Sox actually lost every single game in which a pitcher gave up a run(s). The winning percentage is wins divided by wins plus losses.


VERY FINAL NOTE: To not confuse people, pitchers do get blamed for allowing an opposing baserunner to start any extra inning at second base. When I have presented this detailed information (as you see below) this entire regular season (so far), I have always blamed the pitcher for allowing an opposing baserunner to start any extra inning at second base.


Matt Barnes 1.421 wins and 2.467 losses (.365 win pct.) 12 2/3 innings pitched

Ryan Brasier 1.505 wins and 3.646 losses (.292 win pct.) 13 1/3 innings pitched

Kutter Crawford 1.162 wins and 1.314 losses (.469 win pct.) 10 2/3 innings pitched

Tyler Danish 1.363 wins and 1.135 losses (.546 win pct.) 12 innings pitched

Austin Davis 1.832 wins and .525 losses (.777 win pct.) 16 1/3 innings pitched

Jake Diekman 1.367 wins and 1.199 losses (.533 win pct.) 12 1/3 innings pitched

Nathan Eovaldi 4.728 wins and 4.161 losses (.532 win pct.) 41 2/3 innings pitched

Rich Hill 3.167 wins and 2.500 losses (.559 win pct.) 28 innings pitched

Tanner Houck 3.028 wins and 3.174 losses (.488 win pct.) 26 2/3 innings pitched

Nick Pivetta 3.777 wins and 3.944 losses (.489 win pct.) 33 2/3 innings pitched

Kevin Plawecki .125 wins and .000 losses (Plawecki hasn't given up any runs or partial runs yet, so that means he's perfect. He also has not appeared in a game yet as a pitcher that the Boston Red Sox actually won. 1.000 win pct.) 1 inning pitched

Hansel Robles 1.564 wins and 2.633 losses (.373 win pct.) 14 1/3 innings pitched

Hirokazu Sawamura 1.346 wins and 1.106 losses (.549 win pct.) 12 innings pitched

John Schreiber .832 wins and 0 .000 losses (1.000 win pct.) 7 1/3 innings pitched

Matt Strahm 1.405 wins and 0.750 losses (.652 win pct.) 12 2/3 innings pitched

Phillips Valdez 1.204 wins and 0.828 losses (.593 win pct.) 10 1/3 innings pitched

Michael Wacha 2.949 wins and 2.000 losses (.596 win pct.) 26 innings pitched

Garrett Whitlock 3.226 wins and 2.617 losses (.552 win pct.) 29 2/3 innings pitched



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Wins, Losses, Holds, Blown Saves and Saves that everybody understands

Matt Barnes 0-3 Blown Saves 1 Saves 1

Ryan Brasier 0-2, Holds 4, Blown Saves 2

Kutter Crawford 1-1

Tyler Danish 1-0

Austin Davis 0-1 Holds 1 Blown Saves 1

Jake Diekman Holds 8 Blown Saves 3 Saves 1

Nathan Eovaldi 1-2

Rich Hill 1-1

Tanner Houck 2-3

Nick Pivetta 1-4

Kevin Plawecki

Hansel Robles 1-1 Holds 6 Blown Saves 2 Saves 2

Hirokazu Sawamura 0-1 Holds 1

John Schreiber Holds 1 Saves 1

Matt Strahm 2-1 Holds 3 Saves 1

Phillips Valdez 0-1

Michael Wacha 3-0

Garrett Whitlock 1-1 Blown Saves 1 Saves 1




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