New Mexico 2026 Election Predictions
- Jun 1
- 4 min read
(Search "Election" or "Voting Box Display" on Images in Media from Wix on Wix.com)
By: Evan Troxel
These are my predictions to win the primary election and the general election (for right now, subject to change before like September 25th, 2026,) for the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate Elections (and other elections) for the U.S. state of New Mexico in 2026.
I also list people who I think support Islam or who I think or terrorists (or who should be put on a terrorist watch list at the very least).
New Mexico currently has 3 Democrats and 0 Republicans in the U.S. House of Representatives.
New Mexico has two Democratic Party U.S. Senators. Martin Heinrich will be up for re-election in 2030. Ben Ray Lujan is up for re-election this year in 2026!
All predictions occurred on Monday, June 1st, 2026 from 8:09 p.m. Eastern Time to 8:53 p.m. Eastern Time!
U.S. House Elections
1st Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Democrat primary
Melanie Stansbury (Democrat)
2nd place:
Republican primary
Didi Okpareke (Republican)
2nd place:
General election prediction to win:
Melanie Stansbury (Democrat)
2nd place: Didi Okpareke (Republican)
3rd place:
2nd Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Democrat primary
Gabe Vazquez (Democrat)
2nd place:
Republican primary
Greg Cunningham (Republican) (Trump endorsed)
2nd place: Jose Orozco (Republican, unofficially withdrew, endorsed Greg Cunningham)
General election prediction to win:
Greg Cunningham (Republican) (Trump endorsed)
2nd place: Gabe Vazquez (Democrat)
3rd place:
3rd Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Democrat primary
Teresa Leger Fernandez (Democrat)
2nd place:
Republican primary
Martin Zamora (Republican)
2nd place:
General election prediction to win:
Teresa Leger Fernandez (Democrat)
2nd place: Martin Zamora (Republican)
3rd place:
U.S. Senate Election (to replace Joni Ernst)
Primary election predictions to win:
Democrat primary
Ben Ray Lujan (Democrat)
2nd place: Matt Dodson (Democrat)
Republican primary
Larry Marker (Republican)
2nd place: Matt Channon (Republican)
3rd place:
Libertarian:
Rhett Trappman (Libertarian)
Forward:
Bob Perls (Forward Party)
General election predictions to win:
Ben Ray Lujan (Democrat)
2nd place: Larry Marker (Republican)
3rd place: Matt Channon (Republican)
4th place: Cameron Chick (Independent)
6th place: Rhett Trappman (Libertarian)
6th place: Bob Perls (Forward Party)
Gubernatorial Election
Primary election predictions to win:
Democrat primary
Deb Haaland (Democrat)
2nd place: Sam Bregman (Democrat)
Republican primary
Gregg Hull (Republican)
2nd place: Doug Turner (Republican)
3rd place: Duke Rodriguez (Republican)
Independents:
Ken Miyagishima (Independent)
General election predictions to win:
Deb Haaland (Democrat)
2nd place: Gregg Hull (Republican)
3rd place: Ken Miyagishima (Independent)
Lieutenant Gubernatorial Election
Primary election predictions to win:
Democrat primary
Maggie Toulouse Oliver (Democrat)
2nd place: Harold Pope Jr. (Democrat)
3rd place: Jackie Lee Onsuarez (Democrat)
Republican primary
David Gallegos (Republican)
2nd place: Manuel Lardizabal (Republican)
3rd place: Aubrey Blair Dunn (Republican)
General election predictions to win:
Maggie Toulouse Oliver (Democrat)
2nd place: David Gallegos (Republican)
Attorney General Election
Primary election predictions to win:
Democrat primary
Raul Torrez (Democrat)
Republican primary
Samuel Kane (Republican)
General election predictions to win:
Raul Torrez (Democrat)
2nd place: Samuel Kane (Republican)
Secretary of State Election
Primary election predictions to win:
Democrat primary
Amanda Lopez Askin (Democrat)
2nd place: Katharine Clark (Democrat)
Republican primary
Ramona Goolsby (Republican)
General election predictions to win:
Amanda Lopez Askin (Democrat)
2nd place: Ramona Goolsby (Republican)
Here are webpages to my predictions for Primary Elections in several U.S. States during the 2026 Election cycle:
If you want to find any of my stories, you can just go to my blog on my website as that is where most of my stories are at!
Those are all of my predictions to win for right now! Be sure to come back to this page for my updated and final predictions in New Mexico before the General Election.
These predictions are meant to give my personal opinion about who will win each election.
Be sure to follow me on my various social media which you can find on this page for right now. Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter/X @Evan_Troxel. Also, be sure to definitely follow me on Gab @Evan_Troxel and on Telegram as well at t.me/Evan_Troxel in case I ever get censored and banned from X and Facebook!
I reserve the right to change my predictions before the first day of the General Election. I also can change my predictions AFTER the start of the first day of the General Election ONLY if I decide BEFORE the General Election that I want to change my predictions and I just do not have access to the Internet before the General Election.
LEGAL NOTICE: I DO NOT endorse and I do not encourage people to gamble or bet your own money and other people's money at all! These predictions are not meant to be taken as extremely serious advice for betting and gambling purposes anytime at all in the near future! If you have a gambling problem, please seek help from someone you trust! If you don't trust anyone, you probably need to start trusting certain people in your life more!
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