Hawaii 2026 Election Predictions
- Aug 7
- 4 min read
Updated: 7 days ago
(Search "Election" or "Voting Box Display" on Images in Media from Wix on Wix.com)
By: Evan Troxel
These are my predictions to win the primary election and the general election (for right now, subject to change before like September 25th, 2026,) for the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate Elections (and other elections) for the U.S. state of Hawaii in 2026.
I also list people who I think support Islam or who I think or terrorists (or who should be put on a terrorist watch list at the very least).
Hawaii currently has 2 Democrats and 0 Republicans, in the U.S. House of Representatives.
Hawaii has two Democratic Party U.S. Senators currently. Brian Schatz will be a U.S. Senator at least until the actual year of 2029 and sometime after the 2028 election (if he doesn't die first or is forced to resign for simply being physically incapable of doing the job)! Mazie Hirono is up for re-election this year in 2030!
The primary is on Saturday, August 8th, 2026. The general election will be on November 3rd, 2026.
(Predicted on Friday, August 7th, 2026, at 6:46 p.m. Eastern Time)
U.S. House Elections
1st Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win (term starts on January 3rd, 2027):
Democrats:
Ed Case (Democrat)
2nd place: Jarrett Keohokalole (Democrat)
3rd place: Jennifer Booker (Democrat)
4th place: Ben Fatula (Democrat)
5th place: Nicholas Kiswanto (Democrat)
6th place:
7th place:
Republicans:
Adrian Lam (Republican)
2nd place:
3rd place:
4th place:
5th place:
6th place:
7th place:
8th place:
9th place:
10th place:
Green Party:
Jordan Conley (Green Party)
Independent:
Nathan Berning (Independent)
General election prediction to win:
Ed Case (Democrat)
2nd place: Adrian Lam (Republican)
3rd place: Nathan Berning (Independent)
4th place: Jordan Conley (Green Party)
5th place:
2nd Congressional District:
Primary election predictions to win:
Democrats:
Winner: Jill Tokuda (Democrat)
2nd place: Greg Guithues (Democrat)
3rd place: Steven King (Democrat)
4th place: Kirill Basin (Democrat)
Republicans:
Brenton Awa (Republican)
2nd place:
3rd place:
Independents:
1st place: Randall Terry (Independent)
2nd place: Edward Codelia (Independent)
General election prediction to win:
Jill Tokuda (Democrat)
2nd place: Brenton Awa (Republican)
3rd place: Randall Terry (Independent)
4th place: Edward Codelia (Independent)
Gubernatorial election (Governor)
Primary election predictions to win:
Democrats:
Winner: Josh Green (Democrat)
2nd place: Duke Bourgoin
3rd place: George (Teva) Lucas-Tadeo
4th place: Lauren Kapoliahi'iaka Shim
Republicans:
Gary Cordery
2nd place: Ken Fujiyama
3rd place:
Independents:
1st place:
2nd place:
General election prediction to win:
Josh Green (Democrat)
2nd place: Gary Cordery (Republican)
3rd place:
4th place:
Lieutenant Governor Election
Primary election predictions to win:
Democrats:
Winner: Della Au Belatti
2nd place: Derek Kawakami
3rd place: John Choi
4th place: Ku L. (Bobby) Cuadra
5th place: Sam Puletasi
Republicans:
Daniel Anthony
2nd place: Robert E. Peters
3rd place: Margaret Rose Mejia
4th place: Hopelin (Hope) Cresencia
Independents:
1st place:
2nd place:
General election prediction to win:
2nd place: Republican primary winner
3rd place:
4th place:
Here are webpages to my predictions for Primary Elections in several U.S. States during the 2026 Election cycle:
Alabama (House Special Election), Connecticut, Minnesota, South Carolina (Primary Special), Vermont and Wisconsin on Tuesday, August 11th.
Alaska, California (House Special), Florida and Wyoming on Tuesday, August 18th, 2026.
Massachusetts on Tuesday, September 1st.
New Hampshire on Tuesday, September 8th.
Rhode Island on Wednesday, September 9th.
Delaware on Tuesday, September 15th.
Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, South Carolina primaries June 9th, 2026.
If you want to find any of my stories, you can just go to my blog on my website as that is where most of my stories are at!
Those are all of my predictions to win for right now! Be sure to come back to this page for my updated and final predictions in Hawaii before the General Election.
These predictions are meant to give my personal opinion about who will win each election.
Be sure to follow me on my various social media which you can find on this page for right now. Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter/X @Evan_Troxel. Also, be sure to definitely follow me on Gab @Evan_Troxel and on Telegram as well at t.me/Evan_Troxel in case I ever get censored and banned from X and Facebook! You can definitely find a lot of my content on Gab and Telegram on Saturdays and Sundays!
I reserve the right to change my predictions before the first day of the General Election. I also can change my predictions AFTER the start of the first day of the General Election ONLY if I decide BEFORE the General Election that I want to change my predictions and I just do not have access to the Internet before the General Election.
LEGAL NOTICE: I DO NOT endorse and I do not encourage people to gamble or bet your own money and other people's money at all! These predictions are not meant to be taken as extremely serious advice for betting and gambling purposes anytime at all in the near future! If you have a gambling problem, please seek help from someone you trust! If you don't trust anyone, you probably need to start trusting certain people in your life more!
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